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Crypto fans count down to bitcoin's 'halving'
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Crypto fans count down to bitcoin's 'halving'
Apr 19, 2024 1:14 AM

LONDON, April 19 (Reuters) - Bitcoin enthusiasts were

eagerly waiting for bitcoin's 'halving' on Friday - a change to

the cryptocurrency's underlying technology designed to cut the

rate at which new bitcoins are created.

The halving, which happens roughly every four years, was

written into Bitcoin's code at its inception by pseudonymous

creator Satoshi Nakamoto as a way to reduce the rate at which

bitcoins are created.

Chris Gannatti, Global Head of Research at asset manager

WisdomTree, which markets bitcoin exchange-traded funds, called

the halving "one of the biggest events in crypto this year".

According to CoinGecko's countdown clock, the halving is

scheduled to happen in the early hours of Saturday GMT.

For some crypto fans, the halving will underscore bitcoin's

value as an increasingly scarce commodity - Nakamoto capped

bitcoin supply at 21 million tokens - while sceptics see it as

little more than a technical change talked up by speculators to

inflate the virtual currency's price.

The halving works by halving the rewards cryptocurrency

miners receive for creating new tokens, making it more expensive

for them to put new bitcoins into circulation.

It follows a surge in bitcoin's price to an all-time high of

$73,803.25 in March, having spent much of 2023 slowly

recovering from 2022's dramatic plunge. On Thursday the world's

biggest cryptocurrency was trading at $63,800.

Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have been supported by

excitement around the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's

decision to approve spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds in

January, as well as expectations that central banks will cut

interest rates.

Previous halvings occurred in 2012, 2016 and 2020. Some

crypto fans point to price rallies that followed them as a sign

that bitcoin's next halving will boost its price, but many

analysts are sceptical.

"We do not expect bitcoin price increases post halving as it

has been already priced in," JP Morgan analysts wrote this week.

They expect bitcoin's price to fall after the halving,

because it is "overbought" and venture capital funding for the

crypto industry has been "subdued" this year.

Financial regulators have long warned that bitcoin is a

high-risk asset, with limited real-world uses, although more

have begun to approve bitcoin-linked trading products.

Andrew O'Neill, a crypto analyst at S&P Global, said he was

"somewhat sceptical of the lessons that can be taken in terms of

price prediction from previous halvings."

"It's only one factor in a multitude of factors that can

drive price," he said.

Bitcoin has struggled for direction since March's record

high and fallen in the last two weeks as geopolitical tensions

and expectations central banks will keep rates higher for longer

unnerved global markets.

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