LONDON, April 19 (Reuters) - Bitcoin enthusiasts were
eagerly waiting for bitcoin's 'halving' on Friday - a change to
the cryptocurrency's underlying technology designed to cut the
rate at which new bitcoins are created.
The halving, which happens roughly every four years, was
written into Bitcoin's code at its inception by pseudonymous
creator Satoshi Nakamoto as a way to reduce the rate at which
bitcoins are created.
Chris Gannatti, Global Head of Research at asset manager
WisdomTree, which markets bitcoin exchange-traded funds, called
the halving "one of the biggest events in crypto this year".
According to CoinGecko's countdown clock, the halving is
scheduled to happen in the early hours of Saturday GMT.
For some crypto fans, the halving will underscore bitcoin's
value as an increasingly scarce commodity - Nakamoto capped
bitcoin supply at 21 million tokens - while sceptics see it as
little more than a technical change talked up by speculators to
inflate the virtual currency's price.
The halving works by halving the rewards cryptocurrency
miners receive for creating new tokens, making it more expensive
for them to put new bitcoins into circulation.
It follows a surge in bitcoin's price to an all-time high of
$73,803.25 in March, having spent much of 2023 slowly
recovering from 2022's dramatic plunge. On Thursday the world's
biggest cryptocurrency was trading at $63,800.
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have been supported by
excitement around the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's
decision to approve spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds in
January, as well as expectations that central banks will cut
interest rates.
Previous halvings occurred in 2012, 2016 and 2020. Some
crypto fans point to price rallies that followed them as a sign
that bitcoin's next halving will boost its price, but many
analysts are sceptical.
"We do not expect bitcoin price increases post halving as it
has been already priced in," JP Morgan analysts wrote this week.
They expect bitcoin's price to fall after the halving,
because it is "overbought" and venture capital funding for the
crypto industry has been "subdued" this year.
Financial regulators have long warned that bitcoin is a
high-risk asset, with limited real-world uses, although more
have begun to approve bitcoin-linked trading products.
Andrew O'Neill, a crypto analyst at S&P Global, said he was
"somewhat sceptical of the lessons that can be taken in terms of
price prediction from previous halvings."
"It's only one factor in a multitude of factors that can
drive price," he said.
Bitcoin has struggled for direction since March's record
high and fallen in the last two weeks as geopolitical tensions
and expectations central banks will keep rates higher for longer
unnerved global markets.