SHANGHAI, Nov 20 (Reuters) - China left benchmark
lending rates unchanged on Thursday for the sixth consecutive
month in November, matching market expectations.
WHY IT'S IMPORTANT
The steady loan prime rate (LPR) fixings underscore the
central bank's reduced urgency to deliver additional monetary
easing in the wake of a trade truce between Beijing and
Washington, even as October economic data pointed to signs of a
slowdown.
BY THE NUMBERS
The one-year loan prime rate (LPR) was kept
at 3.0%, while the five-year LPR was unchanged
at 3.5%.
In a Reuters survey of 23 market participants conducted this
week, all participants predicted no change to either of the two
rates.
CONTEXT
U.S. President Donald Trump had agreed with President Xi
Jinping last month to trim tariffs on China in exchange for
Beijing cracking down on the illicit fentanyl trade, resuming
U.S. soybean purchases and keeping rare earths exports flowing.
The central bank seems to have shifted to a less dovish
stance after resurfacing "cross-cyclical" policy adjustments in
its third-quarter monetary policy implementation report - its
first mention since the first quarter of last year. The policy
aims to smooth out the impact of economic cycles.
A string of October economic data, including a contraction
in exports and a further slowdown in retail sales, pointed to a
tougher fourth quarter, analysts said.
New loans by Chinese banks fell sharply in October from the
previous month and missed market expectations, as households and
businesses remained wary of taking on more debt due to economic
uncertainties and trade tensions between Beijing and Washington.
KEY QUOTES
"The PBOC is willing to tolerate further moderation in loan
growth rather than respond with broad-based monetary and credit
easing," said Xinquan Chen, economist at Goldman Sachs.
"That said, with expected economic slowdown now
materializing, we argue that monetary policy easing is more
likely to be delayed than set aside," he said, pushing back
forecast for a "dual cut" in both policy rate and banks' reserve
requirement ratio (RRR) to the first quarter of 2026, from the
current quarter.