*
Turkey central bank expected to hold rates steady
*
Indonesia's central bank intervenes in FX market
*
EM assets hit by risk-off mood as Iran-Israel conflict
rages on
By Medha Singh
June 19 (Reuters) - Emerging market stocks and
currencies hit a two-week low on Thursday against a stronger
dollar as the escalating Israel-Iran conflict drove investors
toward safe-haven assets.
Oil prices rose and global stocks slid as Israel struck a
key Iranian nuclear site and Iranian missiles hit an Israeli
hospital. Meanwhile, President Donald Trump kept the world
guessing about whether the U.S. would join Israel in airstrikes.
MSCI's index for emerging market equities fell
1.4%, while a parallel index for currencies
eased 0.2%.
"Geopolitics is still front and centre for markets even as
we are in the midst of a busy central bank week. The Israel-Iran
conflict is now being viewed by investors through the lens of
whether the US gets involved or not," said Neil Wilson,
strategist at Saxo Markets.
Stock markets across the Middle East have tumbled following
the bombing of Iran a week ago, with major indices in the UAE,
Egypt, and Saudi Arabia posting sharp losses.
In a striking exception, Israel's financial markets appeared
resilient, with the blue-chip Tel Aviv 35 index rising
for the fifth day to fresh record high on Thursday. The shekel
has recovered to 3.482 per dollar from a one-half month
low of 3.680 on Friday.
The Turkish lira, among the worst performing
currencies this year, dipped to a new three-month low at 39.565
per dollar ahead of a central bank meeting where rates are
expected to remain steady.
After the jailing of Istanbul Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu sparked a
sharp selloff in Turkish assets in March, the central bank hiked
its policy rate to 46% from 42.5% in April, reversing an easing
cycle that had begun in December.
The central bank will announce its next interest rate
decision at 1100 GMT on Thursday.
U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday said
inflation is expected to go up over the summer as President
Donald Trump's tariffs work their way to consumer, further
aiding the dollar's rise.
In Asia, the Philippine peso was largely unchanged
near its two-month low after central bank cut its policy rate by
25 basis points as expected. The Taiwan dollar fell
0.3% after the central bank kept its policy rate unchanged.
Indonesia's central bank intervened in the foreign exchange
market in a measured way, an official said after the rupiah
had fallen to a one-month low against the U.S. dollar.
The South African rand dipped 0.1% largely in line
with peers ahead of central bank's June Financial Stability
Review, in which it evaluates risks to the country's financial
stability and outlines the policy actions taken to mitigate
them.
In Central Europe, the Romanian leu was trading
largely unchanged at 5.0295 per euro and the Hungarian forint
fetched 403.03, down 0.2%.
U.S. and Polish markets were closed on Thursday for a
holiday.
The St Petersburg forum, Russia's biggest annual economic
forum is currently underway. Russian Deputy Prime Minister
Alexander Novak has said that he expected Prince Abdulaziz bin
Salman, Saudi Arabia's energy minister to attend the forum on
Thursday.
HIGHLIGHTS:
** Turkey central bank expected to hold rates steady, trim
upper band
** Rwanda, DRC initial peace agreement ahead of signing next
week
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