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Stocks take a breather after relief rally over ceasefire
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Investors eye trade deals ahead of tariff deadline
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Dollar slides after Trump attacks Powell again
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Oil inch higher to stabilize after a volatile month
By Ankur Banerjee
SINGAPORE, June 26 (Reuters) - Asian stocks stuttered on
Thursday, while oil prices stabilized and the euro was perched
at a 3-1-2/-year high as investors weighed geopolitical,
economic and fiscal uncertainties as they braced for U.S.
President Donald Trump's deadline on tariffs.
Markets have been soothed by a ceasefire between Israel and
Iran that appeared to be holding, reducing the risks of
disruptions to the global oil trade and underpinning sentiment.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
was little changed in early trading, as the
rally in Wall Street took a breather overnight. Tokyo's
Nikkei rose 0.9% to a four-month high.
The U.S. dollar selling kicked up a notch after a media
report said Trump has toyed with the idea of selecting and
announcing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's replacement by
September or October in a bid to undermine his position.
That pushed the euro to its strongest level since
November 2021. It last fetched $1.6805. The Swiss franc
firmed to a decade-high while the Japanese yen
strengthened 0.35% to 144.70 per dollar.
Trump has repeatedly criticized Powell for not cutting
interest rates and has floated the idea of firing him or naming
a successor soon, denting investor confidence in U.S. assets and
undermining the central bank's independence.
"I think it's a given that Trump's pick to succeed Powell,
when it comes, will be one that sits at the highly dovish end of
the spectrum and will support Trump's agenda of lowering
interest rates," said Tony Sycamore, market analyst at IG.
"The issue with this is it will resurface questions from
earlier in the year around the Fed's independence, which, as we
saw, undermines confidence in the Fed and the USD."
The dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency
against six rivals, wallowed at its lowest level since March
2022. The index has slid 10% this year as investors, worried by
Trump's tariffs and their on U.S. growth, look for alternatives.
Financial markets remain on edge over Trump's chaotic trade
policies as the clock ticks down to his July 9 deadline for
trade deals.
Powell, who resumed two days of congressional testimony on
Wednesday, said Trump's tariff plans may well just cause a
one-time jump in prices, but the risk it could fuel more
persistent inflation is large enough for the central bank to be
careful in considering further rate cuts.
Fed officials still expect to cut interest rates this year,
but the timing is uncertain as officials wait on looming trade
deadlines and for more certainty about the scope of the tariffs
that will be imposed and the ways that rising import levies
influence prices and economic growth.
"No one knows exactly how tariffs will impact inflation,
which will keep central banks in conservative mode, particularly
the Fed," said Bank of America strategists, noting downside
risks to global growth remain relevant, not only due to trade
wars but also due to geopolitical developments.
"We are carefully monitoring fiscal policy across key
countries that can affect global interest rates. Unsustainable
fiscal dynamics can trigger an accident in bond markets," they
said in a note.
In commodities, oil prices inched higher to continue
recovering after a volatile month so far due to the conflict
between longtime rivals Israel and Iran.
Brent crude futures rose 0.2% to $67.82 a barrel,
while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) gained
0.28% to $65.1.
(Editing by Shri Navaratnam)