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US, European stocks choppy as French no-confidence vote

planned

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Trump buoys dollar with tariff threat on BRICS

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China stocks boosted by robust manufacturing surveys

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French government bond risk premium jumps

By Lawrence Delevingne and Amanda Cooper

BOSTON/LONDON, Dec 2 (Reuters) - Stocks in the U.S. and

Europe gyrated on Monday after France's far-right and left-wing

parties said they will vote for a no-confidence motion against

Prime Minister Michel Barnier, a move that is likely to cause

the French government to collapse later this week.

French equities fell about 0.6% while broader

European shares pulled back on the news, last up about

0.3% on the day.

Wall Street stocks were mixed on Monday, boosted by

technology stocks, while investor focus remained on a slew of

economic data this week. The Dow Jones Industrial

Average fell 0.32% to 44,768, the S&P 500 rose

0.2% to 6,045 and the Nasdaq Composite rose about 1%

to 19,408.

The euro itself gained little respite, down 1% to

$1.0468, as the dollar got a boost during the weekend from U.S.

President-elect Donald Trump, who warned BRICS emerging nations

against trying to replace the greenback with any other currency.

The euro has lost some 14.5% in value over the last three

months, in part because of concern that the health of the euro

zone economy might require the European Central Bank to deliver

deeper interest rate cuts than previously expected.

France's National Rally had given Prime Minister Michel

Barnier until Monday to yield to the far-right party's demands

for concessions in his proposed budget or face the possibility

of it backing a no-confidence motion.

The risk premium that investors demand to hold French

government debt jumped on Monday. The gap between France and

Germany's 10-year bond yields - a measure of French borrowing

costs compared with the euro zone benchmark - rose as much as 7

basis points to 87.4 bps, although it remained below last week's

12-year high of 90 bps.

"Heightened political uncertainty could also play a role at

the margin in keeping alive market expectations for larger 50

bps ECB rate cut this month although the hard economic data is

not fully supportive," MUFG currency strategist Lee Hardman

said.

DOLLAR FIRM

Beyond France, global stocks edged higher, leaving the MSCI

All-World index up about 0.1%.

The Federal Reserve is in sharp focus and Friday's monthly

payrolls report could be the deciding factor when policymakers

consider whether or not to cut rates again on Dec. 18.

A number of Fed officials are due to speak this week,

including Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday. Traders put the

odds of a quarter-point reduction at about 60%.

That has left the dollar index, which measures the

currency against six others, up 0.6% at 106.67, having gained

1.8% in November.

In Asia, mainland Chinese shares closed up 0.8%,

following a robust reading in a private manufacturing survey on

Monday.

The yen, meanwhile, was steady near Friday's

six-week high of 149.47.

Gold dipped 0.34% to $2,644 an ounce, under pressure

from the strong dollar, after sliding more than 3% in November,

its worst monthly performance since September 2023.

Oil prices rose after the Chinese manufacturing data, and as

Israel resumed attacks on Lebanon despite a ceasefire agreement,

which stirred up concern about potential supply disruption from

the region.

Brent crude and U.S. futures both gained nearly 1%

to $72.39 a barrel and $68.58, respectively.