By Patturaja Murugaboopathy
Aug 4 (Reuters) - Microsoft Corp ( MSFT ), Meta Platforms
Inc ( META ), Oracle Corp ( ORCL ), Amazon ( AMZN ) and Alphabet
have committed about $1.09 trillion in future payments
under leases that have not yet begun, mostly for data centres
needed to power the artificial intelligence boom.
The commitments show that a substantial part of Big Tech's
AI spending spree has already been locked in, without yet
appearing as debt-like lease liabilities on company balance
sheets.
If demand for AI computing continues to surge, the
facilities will underpin the next phase of cloud growth. If it
does not, the companies could be left paying for vast amounts of
costly, long-lived capacity that is difficult to shed.
The total is nearly four times the roughly $285 billion of
lease liabilities already recognised on the companies' balance
sheets, according to company filings compiled by Reuters.
The gap reflects accounting treatment. Signed leases
generally are not recorded as liabilities until a facility is
available for use. Until then, companies disclose the future
payments in notes to their financial statements.
The commitments are not hidden, and rating agencies may
already account for some of them. But their scale reveals how
much of the AI buildout has yet to enter reported lease
liabilities, fixed charges and reported leverage measures.
The $1.09 trillion cannot simply be added to debt.
Uncommenced lease commitments are generally undiscounted
payments spread over many years, whereas recognised lease
liabilities reflect their present value.
Oracle has the largest apparent concentration risk. It
disclosed $260 billion of uncommenced commitments, nearly seven
times its $37.89 billion of recognised lease liabilities. The
commitments are substantially for data centres, expected to
begin between fiscal 2027 and fiscal 2029, and generally run for
15 to 19 years.
Oracle has warned that the duration, renewal terms and
pricing of its data-centre leases may not align with customer
contracts, leaving it exposed if customers do not renew or
cannot perform.
Its borrowings equalled about 4.4 times trailing EBITDA at
the end of May, according to a Reuters analysis of LSEG data and
company filings. Including recognised operating and finance
lease liabilities lifted that ratio to about 5.7 times.
S&P Global Ratings said it incorporated Oracle's $260
billion of uncommenced leases into its adjusted-debt forecast
and expected leverage to be around 4.4 in fiscal 2027.
Microsoft ( MSFT ) had the largest disclosed pipeline, at $329.1
billion, against $88.52 billion of recognised lease liabilities.
Meta disclosed $278.99 billion of uncommenced operating and
finance lease payments, then signed a further $68 billion of
data-centre leases in July, lifting the five companies' known
pipeline to about $1.16 trillion, including those later
agreements.
Alphabet reported $85.2 billion of uncommenced leases, while
Amazon ( AMZN ) disclosed $137.21 billion. Amazon's ( AMZN ) figure is less
directly comparable because its lease portfolio also includes
warehouses, offices, aircraft and vehicles.