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Projected air travel growth runs counter to climate goals, study says
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Projected air travel growth runs counter to climate goals, study says
Jan 12, 2025 3:32 PM

DUBLIN, Jan 13 (Reuters) - The number of air passengers

is projected to more than double by 2050, causing surging fuel

demand and undermining the aviation industry's steps to reduce

its emissions, a study from climate advocacy group Transport and

Environment showed on Monday.

As aviation industry leaders meet in Dublin this week at an

annual finance conference where many plane sales are expected,

the Brussels-based group called for the European Union to

implement measures to limit the sector's growth.

"It's time to come back down to earth and put an end to

this addiction to growth," Jo Dardenne, the group's aviation

director, told Reuters.

Steps to tame fast-growing air travel could include limiting

airport infrastructure growth and corporate travel while

increasing taxation on the sector, the report said.

The airline industry, which accounts for about 2.5% of

global carbon emissions, has vowed to use more sustainable

aviation fuel (SAF) in an effort to cut emissions and to reach

net zero by 2050.

But scant supply and prices that are up to five times higher

than traditional jet fuel mean little of the greener fuel is in

use.

Monday's report said fuel use by the industry was forecast

to rise by 59% by 2050 from 2019 levels as passenger numbers

increase.

With plane manufacturers Airbus and Boeing ( BA )

both projecting high growth in the coming years and more planes

in the sky, emissions are set to increase even with more

efficient jets on the market and the use of SAF.

"The more they grow, the further away they move from it. At

this rate, they will still be burning two billion barrels of oil

per year in 2050, despite using SAF," said Dardenne.

Airbus and Boeing ( BA ) did not respond immediately to a

Reuters request for comment.

The airline industry has repeatedly pushed back on calls to

curtail growth, saying the sector is essential to economic

development and global connectivity.

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