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Trane Leans on Commercial Strength to Balance Residential Weakness, RBC Says
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Trane Leans on Commercial Strength to Balance Residential Weakness, RBC Says
Oct 31, 2025 9:24 AM

11:46 AM EDT, 10/31/2025 (MT Newswires) -- Trane Technologies ( TT ) delivered "drama-free" Q3 results, posting a modest operating beat as strength in its commercial climate-control business helped offset weakness in residential systems, RBC Capital Markets said Thursday in a report.

The residential segment, which account for 15% of revenue, reported a 30% drop in bookings and a 20% decline in sales, with channel inventory rebalancing expected by year-end or early 2026, the report said.

Trane ( TT ) posted record organic bookings of $6 billion, up 13% from a year earlier, and a $7.2 billion backlog, with particular strength in data centers and institutional markets, RBC said.

The company trimmed 2025 adjusted earnings per share guidance to a range of $12.95 to $13.05 and guided Q4 organic growth of 3%, citing soft residential demand, delayed commercial deliveries in the Americas, and weaker transport forecasts.

RBC raised its 2026 EPS estimate by $0.05 to $14.70 and lifted its price target on Trane's ( TT ) stock to $469 from $467, while maintaining its sector perform rating.

Price: 449.44, Change: +3.07, Percent Change: +0.69

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