financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
China's factory output up, but consumption still a drag
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
China's factory output up, but consumption still a drag
Dec 15, 2024 7:22 PM

BEIJING (Reuters) -China's industrial output growth quickened slightly in November, while retail sales disappointed, keeping pressure on Beijing to ramp up stimulus for a fragile economy as it braces for more U.S. trade tariffs under a second Trump administration.

The mixed set of data underlines the challenges facing Chinese leaders heading into 2025 when trade relations with the United States could worsen at a time when domestic consumption also remains weak.

China's industrial output grew 5.4% in November year-on-year, up from the 5.3% pace seen in October, data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) showed on Monday, beating expectations for a 5.3% increase in a Reuters poll.

However, retail sales, a gauge of consumption, grew just 3.3% last month, much slower than a 4.8% rise seen in October. Analysts had predicted a 4.6% expansion.

The weaker retail figures come despite a boost from major online shopping promotions and government-subsidised trade-in programs that have boosted sales in sectors including automobiles.

Fixed asset investment also increased at a slower 3.3% pace in January-November from the same period a year earlier, compared with an expected 3.4% rise. It grew 3.4% in the January to October period.

NBS spokesperson Fu Linghui told a media briefing that the trend of recovery in consumption has not changed and that officials would implement more policies to boost domestic demand.

At last week's Central Economic Work Conference (CEWC), a closely-watched agenda-setting meeting, China's top leaders pledged to raise the budget deficit, issue more debt, and make boosting consumption a top priority.

The remarks echoed commitments made by a meeting of top Communist Party officials, the Politburo, earlier this month, which endorsed an "appropriately loose" monetary policy in the first easing of its stance in 14 years.

Policymakers continue to grapple with a years-long property crisis that is dragging on consumer confidence and the broader economy, with some 70% of household savings parked in real estate.

There was some encouraging signs on China's new home prices, which fell at the slowest pace in 17 months in November.

Officials in recent months have doubled down on efforts to encourage homebuying, including cutting mortgage rates and minimum down-payment ratios, as well as tax incentives to lower the cost of housing transactions.

However, most analysts say a sure-footed recovery in the real estate sector appears to be some way off.

Reuters has reported that policy advisers have recommended that Beijing maintain a growth target of around 5.0% for next year, with one government economist saying that China can offset the impact of expected U.S. tariffs on its exports by further boosting domestic demand.

Trump, who is set to start his second term as the U.S. president in January, has threatened tariffs in excess of 60% on imports of Chinese goods.

Reuters also reported last week that China was considering allowing the yuan to weaken in response to punitive trade measures, but a readout from state media Xinhua after the CEWC reiterated a commitment to maintain the yuan's basic stability.

A recent Reuters poll predicted China will grow 4.5% next year, with new U.S. tariffs potentially shaving up to 1 parentage point off growth.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
What's Going On With PulteGroup (PHM) Stock?
What's Going On With PulteGroup (PHM) Stock?
Mar 20, 2025
Shares of PulteGroup Inc ( PHM ) , one of the nation's largest homebuilders, moved higher by as much as 2.1% to $107.36 Thursday morning, before pulling back marginally, following a strong rebound in existing home sales and rising home prices. What To Know: February's 4.2% monthly increase in sales, reported by the National Association of Realtors, signals renewed momentum...
Trump invokes emergency powers to boost US critical minerals production
Trump invokes emergency powers to boost US critical minerals production
Mar 20, 2025
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. President Donald Trump on Thursday invoked emergency powers to boost domestic production of critical minerals used widely across the economy as part of a broad effort to offset China's near-total control of the sector. The move is the latest by Trump to increase U.S. energy and minerals production and comes amid an escalating trade conflict with...
Trump invokes emergency powers to boost US critical minerals production
Trump invokes emergency powers to boost US critical minerals production
Mar 20, 2025
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. President Donald Trump on Thursday invoked emergency powers to boost domestic production of critical minerals used widely across the economy as part of a broad effort to offset China's near-total control of the sector. The move is the latest by Trump to increase U.S. energy and minerals production and comes amid an escalating trade conflict with...
US labor market holding steady, but job opportunities dwindling
US labor market holding steady, but job opportunities dwindling
Mar 20, 2025
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The number of Americans filing new applications for unemployment benefits increased slightly last week, suggesting the labor market remained stable in March, though the outlook is darkening amid rising trade tensions and deep cuts in government spending. Despite the low level of layoffs, more people are staying on jobless rolls longer compared to the same period last...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved