financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
Economic Activity Mixed as Consumer Spending Falls, Fed's Beige Book Shows
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Economic Activity Mixed as Consumer Spending Falls, Fed's Beige Book Shows
Sep 6, 2024 12:39 PM

03:31 PM EDT, 09/04/2024 (MT Newswires) -- Economic activity either remained flat or fell in a majority of districts, while the outlook was for conditions to largely remain stable or "improve somewhat" in the coming months, the Federal Reserve said in its latest Beige Book released Wednesday.

Nine Fed districts reported flat or declining economic activity in the current period, up from five in the prior period, while three reported slight growth, according to the latest Beige Book, which was prepared by the Cleveland Fed based on information collected by Aug. 26.

The previous report, which was released July 17, showed that economic activity in a majority of districts rose at a "slight to modest" pace, while overall growth in the coming months was expected to be slower amid uncertainty around inflation and the upcoming presidential election.

In recent weeks, employment levels were generally "flat to up slightly," the latest Beige Book showed. Wages increased at a modest rate, consistent with the slowing trend seen in recent reports.

Five districts reported slight or modest growth in overall headcounts, while reports of layoffs were "rare," the document showed. "Employers were more selective with their hires and less likely to expand their workforces, citing concerns about demand and an uncertain economic outlook."

Most districts saw a drop in manufacturing activity, with two attributing the declines to ongoing contractions in the sector. Consumer spending fell slightly in most districts.

The US manufacturing sector remained in contraction territory in August as demand weakness weighed on new orders, according to data published Tuesday by the Institute for Supply Management and S&P Global (SPGI).

Prices rose "modestly" on balance, though three districts saw only slight gains in selling prices, according to the Beige Book. "Contacts generally expected price and cost pressures to stabilize or ease further in the coming months."

Some districts reported gains in auto sales, while other reported a slowdown due to elevated interest rates and high vehicle prices. Reports from most districts pointed to "softer" home sales, the document showed.

"District contacts generally expected economic activity to remain stable or to improve somewhat in the coming months, though contacts in three districts anticipated slight declines," the Beige Book said.

Markets are currently pricing in a 55% probability that the Fed will reduce interest rates by 25 basis points Sept. 18, with the remaining odds in the favor of a more aggressive 50-basis-point cut, according to the CME FedWatch tool.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Kashkari: Fed should intervene only reluctantly, still need to finish job on inflation - CNBC
Kashkari: Fed should intervene only reluctantly, still need to finish job on inflation - CNBC
Apr 11, 2025
WASHINGTON (Reuters) -The Federal Reserve should intervene in markets only reluctantly and in a true emergency, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said on Friday in the most explicit comments yet from a Fed official about the possibility of the central bank stepping in to tame volatility that has torn across asset classes in response to President Donald Trump's tariff policies....
Thailand will cut tariffs on US corn imports, minister says
Thailand will cut tariffs on US corn imports, minister says
Apr 11, 2025
BANGKOK (Reuters) - Thailand will cut tariffs on imports of corn from the United States, but volumes still need to be finalised, the finance minister said on Friday. The country is among those in Southeast Asia hardest hit by U.S. President Donald Trump's trade measures, with a much larger than expected 36% tariff. A 90-day pause on the U.S. tariffs will give...
Fed's Collins tells Yahoo Finance that markets are holding in for now
Fed's Collins tells Yahoo Finance that markets are holding in for now
Apr 11, 2025
(Reuters) -Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Susan Collins said Friday that financial markets, which have been under massive pressure, appear to be holding in, in comments made in an interview with Yahoo Finance. Markets continue to function well, Collins said in the interview, adding financial market movements are something to stay focused on amid a huge range of uncertainty...
Fed should 'lean against' persistent tariff-driven inflation, Musalem says
Fed should 'lean against' persistent tariff-driven inflation, Musalem says
Apr 11, 2025
(Reuters) - St. Louis Federal Reserve President Alberto Musalem said on Friday he's closely watching whether a rise in short-term inflation expectations seeps into longer-term expectations, a development that could make fighting inflation a much harder job and reduce the U.S. central bank's flexibility to respond to weakness in the labor market.  Noting high uncertainty over the effects and timing...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved