financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
Global Investors Ready to Buy USD/JPY and Test Tokyo's Mettle, Says BofA Global Research
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Global Investors Ready to Buy USD/JPY and Test Tokyo's Mettle, Says BofA Global Research
Apr 26, 2024 5:49 AM

08:42 AM EDT, 04/26/2024 (MT Newswires) -- Investors are now more enthusiastic about buying USD/JPY after sitting out its rally for much of the last two years, according to BofA Global Research strategists, even if this means going toe-to-toe with Japan's Ministry of Finance.

"Most investors missed the amazing USD/JPY rally of the last two years, because they never liked the level as it kept rising," BofA strategists told clients on Friday.

"They will buy after an intervention dip, and they will keep testing and pushing the level upward as long as the MoF is not intervening," the strategists wrote in a note.

BofA said this creates an "impossible situation" for the Bank of Japan, but one that is entirely consistent with the relative stance of monetary policies in Tokyo and Washington.

Overnight volatility suggests this battle of wills might already have been playing out in the market on Friday when another rally in USD/JPY was interrupted twice by unusually large albeit momentary sell-offs.

USD/JPY leapt above the psychologically important 156 level after the BoJ left its interest rate unchanged at 0.1% and maintained its earlier forward guidance suggesting it will continue to maintain an accommodative stance going forward.

The pair traded as high as 156.82 before being beaten back to 154.95 in a matter of minutes shortly after the London open with similar but smaller moves around the European mid-day. Both instances are clearly visible on intraday charts.

"If the aforementioned outlook for economic activity and prices will be realized and underlying inflation will increase, the Bank will adjust the degree of monetary accommodation, while it anticipates that accommodative financial conditions will be maintained for the time being," BoJ said in its latest outlook report.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Instant view: No surprises from US PCE inflation to alter Fed easing path
Instant view: No surprises from US PCE inflation to alter Fed easing path
Sep 2, 2024
(Reuters) - The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index rose 0.2% last month after an unrevised 0.1% gain in June, the Commerce Department said on Friday, matching economists' forecasts. The data looks unlikely to divert the Federal reserve, which tracks the PCE price measures as an inflation gauge for monetary policy, from lowering interest rates at least 25 basis points...
US economy displays resilience with low layoffs, solid second-quarter growth
US economy displays resilience with low layoffs, solid second-quarter growth
Sep 1, 2024
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The number of Americans filing new applications for jobless benefits slipped last week, but re-employment opportunities for laid-off workers are becoming more scarce, a sign that the unemployment rate probably remained elevated in August. Though the labor market is slowing, it is doing so in an orderly fashion that is keeping the economic expansion on track. The...
US Economy Expands By 3% In Q2, Surpasses Earlier Estimates; Jobless Claims Little Moved Last Week
US Economy Expands By 3% In Q2, Surpasses Earlier Estimates; Jobless Claims Little Moved Last Week
Sep 1, 2024
The U.S. economy expanded by a robust 3% in the second quarter, a significant acceleration from the 1.4% growth seen in the first quarter and representing an upward revision from the government’s initial estimates. This outcome continues to underscore the U.S. economy’s strong resilience, even amid persistent high interest rates, marking the eighth consecutive quarter of growth. In a separate...
Fed's Bostic: it is 'time to move' on rate cuts, but wants to be sure
Fed's Bostic: it is 'time to move' on rate cuts, but wants to be sure
Sep 1, 2024
(Reuters) -Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic on Wednesday said that with inflation down farther and the unemployment rate up more than he anticipated, it may be time to move on rate cuts, but he wants to be sure before pulling that trigger.     Bostic said he will want to see confirmation from the monthly jobs report and...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved