financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
NY Fed says banks obscuring commercial real estate risks by extending loan terms
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
NY Fed says banks obscuring commercial real estate risks by extending loan terms
Oct 25, 2024 9:15 AM

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Banks have been tweaking the terms of commercial real estate mortgages to obscure losses, and in delaying the day of reckoning, are increasing risks to the broader financial system, a paper released Wednesday by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York said.

The commercial real estate sector, or CRE, has been under heavy pressure from the pandemic and its aftershocks. Lockdowns and the widespread rise of remote working has reduced the need for office buildings and similar structures, and thus far, the sector has shown few signs of recovery. On top of that aggressive Fed rate rises between the spring of 2022 and July 2023 further pressured banks.

"Banks 'extended-and-pretended' their impaired CRE mortgages in the post-pandemic period to avoid writing off their capital, leading to credit misallocation and a buildup of financial fragility," the study's authors wrote, adding problems associated with this lending could arise quickly.

Fed officials have been bracing for some level of manageable trouble among the banks that do CRE loans but have broadly argued that whatever issues arise will likely be modest, concentrated in smaller banks and slow moving, as financial institutions navigate the troubled landscape.

And yet, as bad as the pressure has been on the sector, the issue thus far has failed to generate broader dislocations. The report noted "nonperforming loans and net charge-offs have remained low by historical standards, especially for weakly capitalized banks.

The paper notes that CRE mortgages are mainly issued and held by banks, with these firms accounting for 50.7% of the $5.8 trillion CRE loan sector as of the final quarter of 2023.

Banks with "weaker" marked-to-market capital levels tied to losses in their securities holdings are the primary vector for the CRE mortgage extensions. The firms have since the first quarter of 2022 "pretended that such credit provision was not as distressed to avoid further depleting their capital," the authors said.

Extending the maturity of these troubled loans has made it harder to make new CRE loans and increased the chances that troubled CRE mortgages will face an imminent reckoning, noting "the maturity extensions granted by banks also fueled the volume of CRE mortgages set to mature in the near term--a 'maturity wall' with the associated risk of large losses materializing in a short period of time."

The paper said CRE mortgages from weakly capitalized banks have a 0.2 percentage point higher probability of getting the terms extended versus better capitalized banks.

The Fed rate cuts that kicked off in September and are projected to continue could however bring some relief to CRE lending.

On Monday, Moody's lifted its outlook on the banking sector to stable from negative, in part of because "stabilizing asset quality for banks due to rate cuts, especially for CRE loans."

Meanwhile, a report from Goldman Sachs ( GS ) at the end of September noted "there remains little evidence of a credit crunch in the CRE market" even as it is clear lending is growing at a much slower pace.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Fed's Mester seeks more evidence inflation pressures are easing
Fed's Mester seeks more evidence inflation pressures are easing
May 16, 2024
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Loretta Mester said on Thursday holding U.S. central bank policy at current levels will help get still-high inflation back to the 2% target. Monetary policy is well positioned for risk management as we gather more evidence on how the economy is evolving, Mester said in the text of a speech...
Fed hawks and doves in their own words
Fed hawks and doves in their own words
May 16, 2024
(Reuters) - The labels dove and hawk have long been used by central bank watchers to describe the monetary policy leanings of policymakers, with a dove more focused on risks to the labor market and a hawk more focused on the threat of inflation. The topsy-turvy economic environment of the COVID-19 pandemic sidelined those differences, turning Federal Reserve officials at first...
Weekly Jobless Claims Decline Less Than Street's Expectations
Weekly Jobless Claims Decline Less Than Street's Expectations
May 16, 2024
11:31 AM EDT, 05/16/2024 (MT Newswires) -- Weekly applications for unemployment insurance decreased less than Wall Street's expectations, while the four-week moving average rose, government data showed. The seasonally adjusted number of initial claims declined by 10,000 to 222,000 in the week ended May 11, the US Department of Labor said Thursday. The consensus was for a 220,000 level in...
Fed remains cautious on cuts even as data improves
Fed remains cautious on cuts even as data improves
May 16, 2024
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Data this week offered the U.S. Federal Reserve good news on two fronts but policymakers haven't openly shifted views yet about the timing of rate cuts investors are convinced will start this year. Comments from Fed officials including the vice chair of the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee, New York Fed President John Williams, acknowledged the positive...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved