financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
S.Korea export growth hits 7-mth low amid US election uncertainty
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
S.Korea export growth hits 7-mth low amid US election uncertainty
Nov 4, 2024 11:51 AM

SEOUL (Reuters) -South Korea's export growth slowed to a seven-month low in October, below market expectations, in a sign that cooling global demand and U.S. election uncertainty are undermining the economy.

Exports from Asia's fourth-largest economy rose 4.6% from a year earlier to $57.52 billion, the smallest increase since March and a slowdown from gains of 7.5% in September, official data showed on Friday.

The rise was below expectations in a Reuters poll for an increase of 6.9% and also showed exports slowing for the third straight month.

On average per working day, exports were down 0.2% compared with a year earlier, their first fall since September 2023.

Stephen Lee, chief economist at Meritz Securities, had expected exports to derive some support from industrial materials amid lower interest rates and a recovery in the global manufacturing sector.

"But it seems the recovery is being delayed due to heightened uncertainty over the U.S. election and the global economic cycle itself," Lee said.

The trade data aligns with a survey showing South Korea's factory activity shrank for a second month in October, with output falling by the most in 16 months.

The trade-reliant economy barely grew in the third quarter, despite signs of recovery in consumer spending, as exports weakened, which economists said raised the chance for more stimulus from the government to support growth.

Trade Minister Ahn Duk-geun said on Friday that the government "is thoroughly assessing the potential impact" of next week's U.S. election on each sector taking into account every possible scenario.

The Korea Institute for International Economic Policy, a state-run think tank, estimated this week that South Korea would lose as much as $44.8 billion in exports if Republican candidate Donald Trump wins the presidential election and includes the country in a 20% universal tariff on U.S. imports that he has floated.

The latest data shows that shipments to the United States rose 3.4% from a year earlier, matching the pace in September. That was the 15th straight month of increases but also the slowest pace since August 2023.

Exports to China jumped 10.9% to a 25-month high of $12.2 billion and compared with a rise of 6.3% in September. Exports to the European Union gained 5.7%.

Exports of semiconductors increased 40.3% to $12.5 billion in October, lower in value terms than the record high of $13.6 billion in September. Sales of cars rose 5.5%, but petroleum products dropped 34.9% as oil prices have been falling.

Imports rose 1.7% to $54.35 billion in October, weaker than the 2% expected by economists and the September gain of 2.2%.

The country posted a monthly trade surplus of $3.17 billion, less than half the previous month's $6.66 billion.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Lithuania and Estonia say US may delay military deliveries because of Iran war
Lithuania and Estonia say US may delay military deliveries because of Iran war
Apr 17, 2026
VILNIUS/TALLINN, April 17 (Reuters) - The United States has informed Lithuania and Estonia of possible delays in the delivery of U.S. military equipment because of the Iran war, the Baltic countries' defence ministries told Reuters on Friday. U.S. officials have informed some European counterparts, including in the Baltics and Scandinavia, that some previously contracted weapons deliveries are likely to be...
Warsh may have ideas for Fed, but economy may require something different, Daly says
Warsh may have ideas for Fed, but economy may require something different, Daly says
Apr 17, 2026
April 17 (Reuters) - San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly on Friday said that while Federal Reserve chair nominee Kevin Warsh will come into the job with plans for the central bank, in the end -- like each Fed chair back to Paul Volcker -- he will need to respond to whatever surprises the economy delivers.  He'll come in...
Reopened Strait of Hormuz and falling oil prices may recast Fed's options for future cuts
Reopened Strait of Hormuz and falling oil prices may recast Fed's options for future cuts
Apr 17, 2026
WASHINGTON, April 17 (Reuters) - Reopened Middle East shipping and plummeting oil prices on Friday boosted bets the U.S. Federal Reserve may begin cutting interest rates as soon as December,  but officials still face a tangled outlook ahead of their April 28-29 policy meeting.  Iran's announced reopening of the Strait of Hormuz pushed oil below $90 a barrel for the...
Quarter-Long Hormuz Closure to Push US Inflation Higher by 0.6 Percentage Points, Dallas Fed Says
Quarter-Long Hormuz Closure to Push US Inflation Higher by 0.6 Percentage Points, Dallas Fed Says
Apr 17, 2026
01:32 PM EDT, 04/17/2026 (MT Newswires) -- A quarter-long closure of the crucial Strait of Hormuz will likely push US inflation higher by 0.6 percentage points this year, researchers at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas said in an article Friday. Energy prices have surged in the aftermath of the US-Israel war with Iran that spread across the Middle East....
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved