financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
South Korea's economy grew modestly in Q3 as exports, consumption stay resilient: Reuters poll
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
South Korea's economy grew modestly in Q3 as exports, consumption stay resilient: Reuters poll
Oct 23, 2025 6:04 PM

BENGALURU (Reuters) -South Korea's economy grew at a modest pace last quarter, supported by strong exports and a pickup in household consumption as government measures helped stimulate demand, a Reuters poll suggested.

Asia's fourth-largest economy was projected to have expanded a seasonally adjusted 0.9% in the July-September quarter after posting upbeat growth in the second quarter, according to the median forecast of 12 economists.

On a year-on-year basis, gross domestic product (GDP) was forecast to have grown 1.5% following a 0.6% expansion in the April-June period, based on the median estimate from 18 economists polled October 20-23.

"The overall gist is domestic demand is gradually improving, with consumption slowly recovering and better-than-expected turnout in export growth thanks to strong chips demand. This is despite construction investment still in free fall," Kelvin Lam, senior economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, said.

Exports grew 12.6% in September - the fastest pace in over a year - despite a hit from U.S. tariffs of 15%, driven by strong demand for chips used in artificial intelligence.

The government approved a 31.8 trillion won supplementary budget in early July to support domestic demand.

On Thursday, the Bank of Korea held interest rates steady at 2.50% to contain risks in the housing market and support the weakening currency. But its dovish tone pushed the won to a six-month low against the U.S. dollar.

While a majority of economists in a separate Reuters poll expected a cut to come next month, some are now forecasting a delay until January 2026.

"Four board members remained willing to cut interest rates in the next three months, down from five in August. Indeed, a rate cut in November now appears unlikely given the bank's desire to wait to see the impact of the property curbs announced last week," Shivaan Tandon, Asia economist at Capital Economics, said.

Amid domestic concerns, the trade deal between Seoul and Washington is yet to be formalised, as South Korean officials have openly resisted U.S. demands for an upfront investment of $350 billion and called for safeguards to prevent potential currency market disruptions.

"We're going to see that deal coming in. The question is how to finance it. It is impossible to commit $350 billion in cash upfront because it is about 80% of the country's FX reserves," Pantheon's Lam added. 

Stephen Lee, chief economist at Meritz Securities, was optimistic about the trade deal, saying: "What both sides seem to be agreeing on from the working level is they extend the investment horizon, allow some cash flow repatriation in the early stage and increase the portion of loans and guarantees."

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
US sectors to watch as Fed lines up first rate cut of 2025
US sectors to watch as Fed lines up first rate cut of 2025
Sep 17, 2025
(Reuters) -U.S. corporate sectors that are sensitive to interest rates will be in focus as the Federal Reserve looks poised to lower borrowing costs for the first time this year, with most having already notched up gains after Chair Jerome Powell hinted at cuts last month. After easing rates by 50 basis points in September 2024 and 25 bps each...
Fed expected to cut rates, update views of Trump economic plan with new projections
Fed expected to cut rates, update views of Trump economic plan with new projections
Sep 17, 2025
WASHINGTON (Reuters) -The most politically charged U.S. Federal Reserve meeting in years wraps up on Wednesday with broad expectations for a quarter-percentage-point interest rate cut that may spark dissents from some policymakers who feel it is too small and too late and others who feel it is not warranted at all. Just as critical as that decision will be an...
US sectors to watch as Fed lines up first rate cut of 2025
US sectors to watch as Fed lines up first rate cut of 2025
Sep 17, 2025
(Reuters) -U.S. corporate sectors that are sensitive to interest rates will be in focus as the Federal Reserve looks poised to lower borrowing costs for the first time this year, with most having already notched up gains after Chair Jerome Powell hinted at cuts last month. After easing rates by 50 basis points in September 2024 and 25 bps each...
Fed's new projections to account for turbulent period as Miran joins debate
Fed's new projections to account for turbulent period as Miran joins debate
Sep 17, 2025
WASHINGTON (Reuters) -The end of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting on Wednesday will convey a three-part message for investors, showing how much officials have reshuffled their outlooks to account for a weakening job market, how divided the U.S. central bank is becoming over the interest rate path and whether the arrival of Governor Stephen Miran has given it all a...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved