financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
UBS pushes back Fed rate cut forecast to December
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
UBS pushes back Fed rate cut forecast to December
Jun 13, 2024 2:55 AM

(Reuters) - UBS Global Research said it now expects the Federal Reserve to start cutting interest rates in December instead of September, while Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley continue to expect the first cut in September.

The U.S. central bank on Wednesday pushed out the start of rate cuts to perhaps as late as December, and Fed officials reined in projections for how aggressively they would cut rates this year, from three 25 basis point rate cuts to just one.

"The data is going to need to change a lot of minds to bring people back to cutting in September, and start doing so in the next two months," UBS economists, led by Jonathan Pingle, said in a note dated Wednesday.

J.P.Morgan continues expect the first cut in November, but sees risks tilted 'a little more' toward September than December.

BofA Global Research retained its December forecast for the start of policy easing.

U.S. consumer prices were unexpectedly unchanged in May amid cheaper gasoline, data showed on Wednesday, but inflation remains too high for the Fed to start cutting interest rates before September.

Market expectations for a rate cut in September have fallen to 61.5%, according to CME's FedWatch Tool, after rising to roughly 70% in the wake of the inflation data. Odds for a December rate cut are now at 93%.

(Reporting by Roshan Abraham and Reshma Rockie George in Bengaluru; Editing by Sonia Cheema and Varun H K)

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Germany's Manufacturing, Economic Engine Falters: Why US Investors Should Care
Germany's Manufacturing, Economic Engine Falters: Why US Investors Should Care
Oct 7, 2024
Germany is facing a sharp downturn in its manufacturing sector. What Happened: New orders for German manufacturing fell by 5.8% month-over-month in August, according to data from the German Destatis. This was a deeper-than-expected decline — much larger than the 2% drop forecasted by Bloomberg economists. Economists attributed the magnitude of the decline to a robust July marked by large...
Trump's tax, spending plans would add twice as much debt as Harris', budget group says
Trump's tax, spending plans would add twice as much debt as Harris', budget group says
Oct 7, 2024
* Trump plans estimated to add $7.5 trillion to debt over 10 years * Harris plans would add $3.5 trillion in new debt based on 'central estimate' * Deficit estimates draw criticism from both Trump, Harris campaigns By David Lawder WASHINGTON, Oct 7 (Reuters) - Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump's tax and spending plans would produce more than twice as...
US money market funds draw sharp inflows in the week to Oct. 2
US money market funds draw sharp inflows in the week to Oct. 2
Oct 7, 2024
(Reuters) - U.S. money market funds saw massive inflows in the week to Oct. 2 as investors sought safer assets on caution ahead of a key payrolls report amid heightened geopolitical concerns in the Middle East. They acquired U.S. money market funds of a net $41.32 billion during the week following about $113.11 billion worth of net purchases in the...
Don't Bet On China's Economic Stimulus Yet As Yuan Faces Volatility Amid US Election, Jobs Data: Analysts
Don't Bet On China's Economic Stimulus Yet As Yuan Faces Volatility Amid US Election, Jobs Data: Analysts
Oct 7, 2024
China’s yuan is expected to experience fluctuations due to Beijing’s economic stimulus and pressures from the United States as its presidential election approaches on Nov. 5, analysts indicated. What Happened: The yuan could appreciate against the U.S. dollar if Beijing implements significant fiscal policy easing as part of its stimulus efforts, the South China Morning Post reported on Monday. This...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved