financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
US consumer medium-term inflation expectations drop
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
US consumer medium-term inflation expectations drop
Aug 12, 2024 1:33 PM

(Reuters) - U.S. consumers' medium-term inflation expectations eased substantially in July even as their near- and longer-term outlooks for price pressures held steady, although households are increasingly worried about staying current on their debt, a Federal Reserve Bank of New York report showed on Monday.

The median three-year inflation expectation dropped to 2.3% from 2.9% in June to register its lowest reading since the New York Fed launched the monthly Survey of Consumer Expectations in 2013. The one-year and five-year outlooks held steady at 3.0% and 2.8%, respectively.

Fed officials - who've been battling high inflation for more than two years - track a range of measures of inflation expectations because they worry that if they begin to drift substantially upward, consumers and businesses will alter their spending behaviors in ways that can make inflation harder to tame.

Recent measures of inflation have shown it returning toward the Fed's 2% target, and the central bank is now widely expected to cut interest rates next month. The Fed's policy rate - which was raised rapidly from near zero starting in March 2022 - has been on hold in a range of 5.25%-to-5.50% since July 2023.

Meanwhile, consumers - especially lower-income households - see a greater chance they will miss a debt payment in the year ahead.

The survey showed a 13.3% average probability of missing a minimum debt payment, up 1 point from June and the highest since April 2020 at the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic when unemployment briefly skyrocketed. The increase was most pronounced for those with an annual income below $50,000 and those without a high school degree, the survey said.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Home Sellers Outnumber Buyers by Near-Record Percentage, Redfin Says
Home Sellers Outnumber Buyers by Near-Record Percentage, Redfin Says
Apr 20, 2026
12:15 PM EDT, 04/20/2026 (MT Newswires) -- US home sellers outnumbered buyers by a near-record percentage in March, a survey by Redfin showed Monday. Home sellers exceeded buyers by an estimated 43% last month, compared with the largest gap on record of just above 45% in December, according to the online real estate brokerage. The March tally increased from 28%...
Fed Chair nominee Warsh commits to independence, with limits
Fed Chair nominee Warsh commits to independence, with limits
Apr 20, 2026
WASHINGTON, April 20 (Reuters) - U.S. President Donald Trump's nominee to become chair of the Federal Reserve will tell lawmakers at his confirmation hearing Tuesday that he is committed to ensuring that the conduct of monetary policy remains strictly independent, in prepared remarks seen by Reuters on Monday. I am committed to ensuring that the conduct of monetary policy remains...
Robust US commercial loan growth eases worries of economic slowdown
Robust US commercial loan growth eases worries of economic slowdown
Apr 20, 2026
April 20 (Reuters) - U.S. banks last week reported a sharp ramp-up in corporate borrowing, offering an early indication of resilience in parts of the economy even as inflationary pressures and broader fears of a slowdown persist. The robust uptick suggests that companies are continuing to borrow working capital despite uncertainty around policy and cracks in the labor market, which...
Fed chief nominee Warsh pledges new divestment in updated financial filing
Fed chief nominee Warsh pledges new divestment in updated financial filing
Apr 20, 2026
April 20 (Reuters) - Federal Reserve Chair nominee Kevin Warsh has pledged to divest from a foreign-oriented investment fund if confirmed to lead the U.S. central bank, according to an updated financial disclosure filing. In a filing dated April 17 that amended an original filing on April 10, Warsh told the Fed's ethics officer, I will divest my interests in iShares...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved