financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
US economy grew slightly in recent weeks, Fed survey says
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
US economy grew slightly in recent weeks, Fed survey says
Dec 4, 2024 11:47 AM

(Reuters) - U.S. economic activity has expanded slightly in most regions since early October, with employment growth "subdued" and inflation rising at a modest pace and businesses expressing optimism about the future, the Federal Reserve said on Wednesday in a summary of surveys and interviews from across the country known collectively as the "Beige Book."

"Though growth in economic activity was generally small, expectations for growth rose moderately across most geographies and sectors," the U.S. central bank said in its regular temperature check on the economy, drawing on observations from the business and community contacts of each of its 12 regional banks through Nov. 22. "Business contacts expressed optimism that demand will rise in coming months."

The findings will help shape Fed policymakers' thinking about how fast and how much further they may need to lower the policy rate, which is currently in the 4.50%-4.75% range after reductions in September and November.

The Fed's last rate-setting meeting of the year is in two weeks, and financial markets are betting it will deliver a quarter-percentage-point cut in borrowing costs despite inflation that has proven to be stickier than hoped for.

One key measure of underlying price pressures, the 12-month change in the personal consumption expenditures price index stripped of food and energy costs, has been stuck in a range of 2.6% to 2.8% since May, well above the Fed's 2% target.

Even so, many Fed policymakers say they remain convinced that inflation is headed back down, particularly with short-term borrowing costs well above the so-called neutral level where they would cease to be a significant drag on the economy.

As of September, most policymakers estimated the neutral rate to be no higher than 3.5%.

With the labor market still strong but gradually cooling, Fed officials are wary of leaving the policy rate too far above that level for too long.

Economists expect a monthly jobs report due out on Friday will show payroll growth rebounded in November after a dismal showing in October when hurricanes in the U.S. Southeast and a since-settled strike at Boeing weighed on hiring. The unemployment rate, however, is forecast to tick up to 4.2% from 4.1%.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
US judge reinstates Democratic labor board member fired by Trump
US judge reinstates Democratic labor board member fired by Trump
Mar 6, 2025
(Reuters) -A federal judge on Thursday said U.S. President Donald Trump's firing of a Democratic member of the National Labor Relations Board was illegal and ordered that she be reinstated to her post. The decision by U.S. District Judge Beryl Howell in Washington, D.C., restores a quorum of three members at the labor board, which had been paralyzed and unable...
January Trade Deficit Climbs as Tariffs Remain in Focus
January Trade Deficit Climbs as Tariffs Remain in Focus
Mar 6, 2025
02:53 PM EST, 03/06/2025 (MT Newswires) -- The US trade deficit surged 34% in January on the back of a jump in imports, government data showed Thursday, as trade tensions continued to grip markets. The goods and services deficit reached $131.38 billion in January, the Census Bureau and the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported. The consensus was for a trade...
Fed's Waller doesn't see need to cut interest rates later this month
Fed's Waller doesn't see need to cut interest rates later this month
Mar 6, 2025
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said on Thursday that a case for interest rate cuts later this year based on easing inflation still seems most likely to him, but noted that a cut this month is not likely. Speaking at a Wall Street Journal event in New York, Waller said he doesn't see a rate cut...
US judge reinstates Democratic labor board member fired by Trump
US judge reinstates Democratic labor board member fired by Trump
Mar 6, 2025
(Reuters) - A federal judge on Thursday said President Donald Trump's firing of a Democratic member of the National Labor Relations Board was illegal and ordered that she be reinstated to her post. The decision by U.S. District Judge Beryl Howell in Washington, D.C., restores a quorum of three members at the labor board, which had been paralyzed and unable...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved