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Core inflation shock dampens rate-cut bets
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AXJO falls below critical 9,000 points mark
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Financials fall 1.9%; real estate stocks down 1.7%
(Updates to close)
By Atharva Singh
Oct 29 (Reuters) - Australian shares closed at their
lowest level in two weeks on Wednesday as a spike in core
inflation dashed hopes of a near-term interest rate cut,
prompting a sell-off in banking and real estate stocks.
The S&P/ASX 200 index fell 0.96% to 8,926.20 points,
slipping below the key 9,000 mark for the first time since
October 15.
On Wednesday, data showed that core inflation surged in the
September quarter by the fastest in over two years, dampening
expectations of a rate cut next week and forcing markets to pare
back bets on the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) broader
easing cycle.
Traders now expect an 8% chance of a quarter-point rate cut
on November 4, down from 40% before the data, while the odds of
a December reduction have dropped below 22% from 47% earlier.
All of Australia's 'Big Four' banks, along with Citi,
Goldman Sachs ( GS ), and Standard Chartered ( SCBFF ), expect the RBA to keep
its key interest rate steady at 3.60% this year.
Economists at top lender CBA abandoned their call
for one more rate cut next February and now expect the cash rate
to remain on hold for a prolonged period.
Among the major sectors, financials fell 1.9% after
two days of gains, with all of the 'Big Four' banks closing in
the red. Top lender National Australia Bank ( NAUBF ) lost 2.6%.
"Defensive assets have their valuations tied to the cash
rate as an alternative to bonds, so we are seeing those stocks
get sold off as expectations of a rate cut next week are now off
the table," said Luke Winchester, portfolio manager at
Merewether Capital.
Real estate stocks finished 1.7% lower, with sector
heavyweight Goodman Group ( GMGSF ) shedding 1.4%.
Healthcare extended losses to a second day, weighed
by a 4% drop in CSL .
New Zealand's benchmark S&P/NZX 50 index edged
marginally higher to close at 13,409.21 points.