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Dollar gains most since 2022
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Euro posts biggest drop in years
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Tariff-sensitive assets plunge
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Mexican peso drops
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Bitcoin roars to record
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US stock futures surge
By Amanda Cooper
LONDON, Nov 6 (Reuters) - Donald Trump's rapid
confirmation as the next U.S. president propelled the dollar and
punished the euro as investors bet on tariffs on imports
affecting trade while tax cuts could benefit U.S. business.
U.S.
stock futures
rallied almost by the most in a year, while the
dollar was set for its largest one-day jump since 2022
.
Bitcoin
hit record highs and
Treasuries
were battered.
Trump's
pledges to raise tariffs, cut taxes and slash regulations
encouraged investors to dive into a range of assets that looked
likely to benefit from such policies.
Markets that could suffer under tougher tariffs, including
those in some of the United States' major trading partners, bore
the brunt of the sell-off, pushing the Mexican peso to
its lowest in over two years, while the euro was set
for its largest one-day drop since March 2020.
Adding to the confidence in markets was Republicans winning
control of the U.S. Senate, ensuring Trump's party will control
at least one chamber of Congress next year, part of a potential
so-called "Red sweep".
"It's extremely early days to be drawing conclusions about
what a Trump presidency and potential clean sweep might mean for
the U.S. and global economy and financial markets. Certainly,
higher tariffs would involve greater inflation and less world
trade growth," said Philip Shaw, chief economist at Investec.
"With stocks, one of the primary drivers is Trump's promise
to reduce corporate taxes for companies that make goods in
America. And obviously, we've seen a bit increase in U.S. stock
futures and that's carried through to European markets as well."
European stocks rallied, led by defence shares and banks,
while renewable energy shares dropped.
The election could have far-reaching implications for tax
and trade policy, as well as U.S. institutions. The outcome
affects assets globally and could determine the outlook for U.S.
debt, the strength of the dollar and a host of industries that
make up the backbone of corporate America.
INTEREST RATES SEEN HIGHER
"The consequence is a higher path of rates," said Nick
Ferres, chief investment officer at Vantage Point Asset
Management in Singapore. He was buying bank shares in
anticipation that higher yields and stronger growth would
benefit their earnings.
Investors sold U.S. Treasuries, partly on the expectation
that higher tariffs would inevitably filter through to consumer
prices, but also because Trump's promises on spending risk
worsening the government's finances.
"Next year will be a year in which there'll be a lot of
discussion in terms of fiscal issues in the United States,"
Moelis ( MC ) vice chairman and managing director Eric Cantor told a
conference in Abu Dhabi on Wednesday as the election results
were trickling in.
Meanwhile, shares in Trump Media and Technology Group ( DJT )
surged in premarket trading, while those in Tesla
, headed by Trump supporter Elon Musk, jumped nearly
13%.
Bitcoin surged to a record high, betting on a softer line on
cryptocurrency regulation.
"This rally isn't just about the election; it's about the
fundamental shifts happening in the digital financial system, of
which bitcoin is the leader. People are waking up to the fact
that traditional systems are changing," said Nigel Green, chief
executive of deVere Group.
"Markets are growing confident that the election result will
be called and that a 'red sweep' of Congress is possible," said
Ben Emons, founder of Fedwatch Advisors in Washington.
The results so far suggested markets had gained clarity
faster than in 2020, when Joe Biden was announced the victor
some four days after election night.
"That's what markets have been most worried about, that
there would be a long, drawn-out fight over who won," said Jamie
Cox, managing partner at Harris Financial Group.
(Additional reporting by Lewis Krauskopf, Suzanne McGee,
Michelle Conlin, Nupur Anand, Chibuike Oguh, Noel Randwich,
Saqib Ahmed, Saeed Azhar, Caroline Valetkevitch, Tom Westbrook,
Kevin Buckland, Megan Davies, Douglas Gillison, Carolina Mandl,
Lananh Nguyen, Sinead Cruise and Alex Cornwell; Writing by
Michelle Price and Amanda Cooper; Editing by Paritosh Bansal,
Sam Holmes, Peter Graff)