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EM stocks up 0.1%, FX flat
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Polish stocks plunge after bank tax hike
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Jerome Powell's speech at 1400 GMT
By Pranav Kashyap
Aug 22 (Reuters) - Most emerging market assets stayed in
a tight lane on Friday as investors braced for Federal Reserve
Chair Jerome Powell's much-anticipated speech later in the day,
while Chinese equities bucked the trend.
The blue-chip CSI 300 Index jumped 2.1% to its
highest level in over 10 months, while the Shanghai Composite
Index rose 1.4% to their highest in more than 10 years.
Technology stocks led the charge after DeepSeek rolled out
an upgrade to its flagship V3 AI model, while reports that
Nvidia ( NVDA ) asked Foxconn to halt work on the H20
AI chip buoyed Chinese chipmakers.
Elsewhere, Vietnamese stocks snapped a four-day
winning streak, dropping 2.5%.
In Central and eastern Europe, Polish equities
dropped 3.4%, on course for its biggest intraday drop in more
than four months.
The country's banking stocks plunged 5.8% after the
government planned to hike corporate income tax for banks to 30%
in 2026.
The zloty slipped 0.3% against the euro.
A gauge tracking the region's stocks fell
3.2% to a more than two-week low.
Meanwhile, Turkish stocks hit fresh record highs,
finally closing the gap with the broader EM equity gauge after
March's slide following Istanbul mayor Ekrem Imamoglu's
detention. The lira edged up 0.2%.
MSCI's gauge for equities in emerging markets
edged up 0.1%, while its currencies counterparts
was steady.
EM momentum stalled this week, with the equity index set to
break a two-week winning streak as traders hunker down for
Powell's speech at 1400 GMT, hunting for hints of a September
rate cut in the wake of recent signs of job market weakness.
But recent hawkish notes from U.S. officials and
inflation-tinged data have tempered the mood.
The CME FedWatch tool now pegs the odds of a 25-basis point
cut at 71.3%, down from 92% last week.
"We expect the speech to be non-committal about whether to
cut at the September meeting," Societe Generale's cross-asset
research analysts said.
"With inflation moving farther away from target and job
growth slowing, the Fed is in a tough spot."
Meanwhile, there were few breakthroughs on the
Russia-Ukraine peace talks front. U.S. President Donald Trump
said on Tuesday the United States could offer air support as
part of a potential deal to end the war.
An energy facility in Russia's Bryansk region, Unecha
-traversed by the Europe-bound Druzhba oil pipeline - caught
fire after reported Ukrainian missile and drone strikes.
Crude flows to Hungary via the Druzhba pipeline were halted
following the attack. The Hungarian forint slid to a
two-week low, set for its sharpest daily drop in more than four
months.
The Russian rouble was largely unchanged, while
Ukraine's international dollar bonds nudged lower.
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