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U.S. CPI data due at 1230 GMT
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Poland's Q1 GDP at 1.9% y/y, above forecast
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EM stocks up 0.5%, FX adds 0.4%
By Shashwat Chauhan
May 15 (Reuters) - Most currencies in emerging Europe
traded in a tight range on Wednesday, as caution prevailed ahead
of a crucial U.S. inflation print which could be key in gauging
whether the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates anytime
soon.
Poland's zloty held steady at 4.26 per euro after
data showed Polish inflation stood at 2.4% in April on a
year-on-year basis, unchanged from last month's reading.
Separately, a preliminary estimate showed Poland's GDP rose
to 1.9% year-on-year in the first quarter, against estimates of
1.8% growth as per economists polled by Reuters.
Romania's leu was last trading at 4.97 per euro
after a flash estimate showed the country's economy rose 0.1% on
the year in the first quarter, below market expectations.
Hungary's forint dipped 0.1%, while the Czech
crown edged 0.1% higher, hovering near a 15-week high.
Equity bourses across Central Eastern Europe were mixed,
with stocks in Hungary and Romania up 0.4% each,
respectively, while Polish stocks lost 0.6%.
South Africa's rand edged 0.1% higher against the
dollar ahead of a retail sales reading later in the day, while
shares in Johannesburg rose 0.7%.
As of 0828 GMT, MSCI's gauge for emerging market stocks
gained 0.5%, touching its highest level in over two
years, while an index for currencies added 0.4%.
Focus would remain on U.S. consumer data for the month of
April due later in the day, which could offer clues into when
the Fed could commence its policy easing cycle.
"While we would expect (inflation) to remain too elevated
for the Federal Reserve to feel confident that the time has come
to start cutting interest rates, it would mark a step in the
right direction," Julien Lafargue, chief market strategist at
Barclays Private Bank said.
"We continue to expect gradual, albeit bumpy, disinflation
in the coming months, enough that could allow the Fed to cut
interest rates before the end of the year."
Meanwhile in Asia, Chinese equities ended around 1% lower,
pressured by U.S. President Joe Biden's decision to levy fresh
tariffs on Chinese goods.
HIGHLIGHTS:
** MicroStrategy, Indian companies among additions to MSCI
indexes
** Slovak economy gains momentum, Romania stays on growth
path
** Hungary posts record current account surplus in March
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