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Fed widely expected to cut rates
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German 10-year bond yields down
(Updates to Europe morning, adds quotes)
By Jaspreet Kalra
Sept 17 (Reuters) - Euro zone government bond yields
edged lower on Wednesday ahead of a widely-expected U.S. Federal
Reserve rate cut later in the day, with focus on any cues over
the extent of easing the Fed may deliver this year.
Germany's 10-year bond yield, the benchmark for
euro zone debt, was down 2 basis points at 2.68%. French and
Italian bonds traded in line with their German counterparts
, echoing muted moves in U.S. Treasury
yields.
U.S. 10-year Treasury yields fell 1.5 bps to
4.01%, while rate-sensitive 2-year yields hovered at
around 3.50%.
On the longer end of the curve, U.S. and German 30-year bond
yields slipped by about 2 bps each to
around 4.62% and 3.26%, respectively.
Germany's 30-year Bund auction also sailed through on
Wednesday with an improved bid-to-cover ratio compared to the
last auction, signalling strong appetite for the debt following
recent pressure on long-dated bonds.
POWELL COMMENTARY AND ECONOMIC PROJECTIONS
Traders fully price in a 25 basis-point cut by the Fed and
equally important will be commentary from Fed Chair Jerome
Powell and policymakers' updated economic and interest rate
projections.
Analysts reckon that a rate decision along expected lines
could spur an uptick in Treasury yields and the dollar in a
"buy-the-rumor, sell-the-fact" reaction in markets.
"There is a lot already in the price," said Kenneth
Broux, head of corporate research for FX and rates at Societe
Generale, pointing to the recent
weakness
in the dollar and decline in Treasury yields.
The dollar has fallen nearly 1% this month against other
major currencies.
A dovish surprise from the Fed, meanwhile, could prompt U.S.
Treasuries to outperform their German counterparts as investors
have pared expectations of policy easing from the European
Central Bank.
Money markets expect the Fed to lower policy rates by nearly
70 bps by the end of 2026 but price in an about 50% chance of a
25 bps rate cut by the ECB by the middle of next year.
Data released on Wednesday showed that month-on-month
consumer inflation in the Euro zone stood at 0.3% in August, in
line with expectations.
The spotlight will also be on whether Fed policymakers
considered an outsized 50 bps cut at a time when President
Donald Trump has pressured them to cut rates further, casting a
shadow over central bank independence.
Elsewhere, Wednesday's data showed British inflation held at
3.8% in August, remaining the highest of any major advanced
economy.
Although the Bank of England is expected to keep rates
unchanged on Thursday, Norway's central bank, which meets the
same day, is expected to lower rates by 25 bps.
"The latest data doesn't dramatically move the needle one
way or another on the prospect of a further rate cut (by the
BoE) later this year," ING analysts said in a note.
Britain's 10-year gilt yield was last down 2 bps at
4.62%.