(Updates to Europe morning, adds comment)
Sept 24 (Reuters) - Euro zone bond yields were modestly
lower on Wednesday after data showed German business sentiment
unexpectedly declined in September, while U.S. bond yields
drifted lower too, as investors pondered the future outlook for
policy rates.
Germany's 10-year bond yield, the benchmark for
the euro zone, was down nearly 2 basis points at 2.733%.
Companies in Germany were less satisfied with their current
business and expectations also darkened noticeably with Ifo
institute's business climate index easing to 87.7 in September
from a revised 88.9 in August, data released on Wednesday
showed.
Other regional bond yields, such as those for France and
Italy, were trading in line with German debt, with yields on
longer-tenor debt drifting lower as well. Germany's 30-year bond
yield dipped about 2 bps to 3.327%.
U.S. 10-year and 30-year Treasury yields
, meanwhile, dipped to 4.102% and 4.714%,
respectively.
European defence stocks rose on Wednesday after U.S.
President Donald Trump, in a rhetorical shift, said he believed
Ukraine could retake all its land occupied by Russia, but bond
and currency markets appeared to largely shrug at the remarks.
Markets have grown accustomed to fading risks emanating from
areas like geopolitics and trade tariffs and instead seem to be
focused on the policy easing the Fed is expected to deliver,
said Chris Scicluna, head of economic research at Daiwa Capital
Markets.
While softness in the German business survey data
contributed to a dip in yields on the day, expectations of heavy
sovereign debt issuance going forward is likely to support a
drift higher in long-tenor yields, Scicluna said.
Analysts at Goldman Sachs pointed out in a note that
volatility of longer-maturity euro area government debt,
especially the 30-year point, remains somewhat elevated, likely
reflecting the uncertainty in global longer-dated debt, as well
as the timing and impact of Dutch pension reform.
The focus now is on regional debt auctions and the release
of U.S. personal consumption expenditure price data on Friday.
Italy is scheduled to sell 5-year and 10-year bonds worth up to
8.75 billion euros ($10.32 billion) later this week.
Meanwhile, investors will parse the U.S. inflation data for
cues on the future path of the Fed's policy rates. In remarks on
Tuesday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank needed to
continue balancing the competing risks of high inflation and a
weakening job market.
Money markets are currently pricing in a 94% chance of a 25
basis point rate cut by the Fed next month, per CME's FedWatch
tool.
($1 = 0.8482 euros)
(Reporting by Jaspreet Kalra. Editing by Amanda Cooper, Mark
Potter and Ros Russell)