(Updates throughout, adds comment)
By Stefano Rebaudo and Joice Alves
May 10 (Reuters) - Euro zone government bond yields
edged higher on Friday with investors turning their focus to
U.S. inflation data due next week which could affect the Federal
Reserve's policy path.
Last week, a softer-than-expected U.S. employment report for
April re-ignited bets that the Fed would make two 25 basis point
interest rate cuts this year.
Traders want to see further progress on inflation easing
towards the Fed's 2% target to solidify those rate cut
expectations.
Markets are pricing in a divergence between the European
Central Bank and the Fed easing cycle in 2024, seeing 70 bps of
rate cuts from the ECB in 2024, and 45 bps
from the Fed.
The outcome of the Bank of England's (BoE) policy meeting
and U.S. data on Thursday failed to affect market expectations
about the central banks' easing cycle.
Germany's 10-year government bond yields, the
bloc's benchmark, rose to a one week high, last up 2.4 basis
points (bps) to 2.52%. Germany's 2-year yield, more
sensitive to policy rate expectations, rose 3.5 bps to 2.97%,
touching a one-week high.
"Risk appetite is rising again across markets with
remarkable consistency, from equities to bonds, credit, and
commodities," said Florian Ielpo, head of macro at Lombard Odier
Asset Management.
"The key to the continuation of this parallel progression
ties to the U.S. inflation report next week: lower core
inflation would mean a continuation of that trend; a higher
print would shake markets".
The Fed last week signaled it is still leaning towards
eventual reductions in borrowing costs, but noted that recent
disappointing inflation readings could make those rate cuts a
while in coming.
Italy's 10-year yield rose 2 bps to 3.85%, and
the yield gap between Italian and German bonds - a
gauge of the risk premium investors seek to hold bonds of the
euro area's most indebted countries - stood at 133 bps.
Orders for Italy's new 6-year BTP Valore retail bond have
risen above 11 billion euros, Bourse data showed on Friday,
while he previous BTP Valore edition attracted bids worth 18.3
billion euros.
Demand from retail investors has supported Italian
government bond prices for months, with investors wondering if
it's now waning.
"The retail bonds issued by the Tesoro also offer
hold-to-maturity bonuses and strong tax incentives which could
potentially negate some of this pricing difference (with bank
deposits)," said Rohan Khanna, head of euro rates strategy at
Barclays, adding the yield-seeking approach of Italian
households is unlikely to change.