(Updated at 1017 GMT)
By Samuel Indyk and Sruthi Shankar
LONDON, Aug 15 (Reuters) -
Euro zone bonds yields steadied as investors awaited more
U.S. economic data after mild readings of U.S. inflation this
week cleared the way for the Federal Reserve to cut interest
rates next month.
Germany's 10-year bond yield, the benchmark for
the euro zone, firmed 1.4 basis points (bps) to 2.191% after
falling in recent days. Bond yields move inversely with prices.
Euro zone yields have fallen sharply from multi-month highs
in May as weaker-than-expected U.S. payrolls data earlier this
month and signs of easing inflation in the United States and
Europe opened the door for policy easing this year.
Investors will keep a close on U.S. weekly jobless claims
and retail sales data at 1230 GMT (8:30 a.m. ET) for more hints
on the U.S. economy's health and monetary outlook. Tame U.S.
inflation data in recent days has reinforced bets of rate cuts
from the U.S. central bank.
"Overall, the narrative of disinflationary environment is
very much relevant but the market should be very cautious not to
extrapolate the process," said Michel Vernier, head of fixed
income strategy at Barclays Private Bank.
"While we've seen fairly encouraging inflation data on the
core side, it has not shown a big disinflationary trend. We may
see a bit of a consolidation in the rate market in the coming
weeks."
Money markets show traders are expecting an overall 103 bps
of rate cuts from the Fed this year, with the odds of a 25 bp
rate cut in September at 65%.
Traders meanwhile have fully priced in a 25 bp rate cut by
the European Central Bank next month, after a quarter-point rate
cut in June to 3.75%.
Volatility has gripped U.S. and European bond markets in
recent weeks as concerns about a slowing U.S. economy and an
unravelling of this year's most popular trades drove investors
into safe-haven bonds and out of risky equities.
"After the moves that we've seen (in early August) and
without evidence of the euro zone going into a recession, we see
euro rate levels a little bit rich at this point," added
Vernier.
Germany's two-year yield, which is more sensitive
to changes in interest rate expectations, was up 1.2 bps at
2.36%.
Italy's 10-year yield added 0.6 bps at 3.57%,
with the closely watched spread between Italian and German
10-year yields narrowing 1.1 bps at 137.2 bps.