(Updates as of 1100 GMT.)
By Joice Alves
LONDON, May 2 (Reuters) - Euro zone bond yields edged
lower on Thursday after the U.S. Federal Reserve signalled it
may have to leave interest rates at an elevated level for longer
but shot down talk of raising them again.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell told reporters on Wednesday that
inflation was too high and progress in bringing it down was
uncertain, setting the stage for a potentially extended period
with the benchmark policy rate in the 5.25%-5.50% range that has
been in place since July.
A big surprise for markets, which helped push U.S. yields
lower on Wednesday, was the larger-than-expected reduction in
balance sheet runoff under the Fed's quantitative tightening
program.
U.S. treasury yields fell after the announcement
while European markets reacted on Thursday, with the German
10-year bond yield, the benchmark for the euro zone,
down 3.9 basis points (bps) to 2.54%.
"The main flashes from the Fed last night were that...
Powell signalled that rate hikes remained unlikely and the Fed
announced a slightly-larger-than-expected slowing of QT," said
Deutsche Bank strategist, Jim Reid.
The spread between U.S. 10-year Treasuries and German Bunds
widened 0.6 basis points to 206 bps.
Markets are now pricing in only one Fed rate cut this year,
in November, after pricing in as many as six earlier this year,
according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
Powell's words have not disrupted market bets on an ECB rate
cut in June, but beyond that the path is unclear.
Government bonds remain highly sensitive to changes in
expectations for central bank interest rates. Market pricing
currently indicates a roughly 70% chance of a 25-basis-point ECB
cut in June, and two or three cuts in total this year.
"Whilst the Fed is set to stand firm on rates until it is
sufficiently confident inflation is falling sustainably to 2%,
the baseline view that policy will eventually be loosened
remains largely intact," said Ryan Djajasaputra, economist at
Investec.
The German two-year bond yield, which is more
sensitive to ECB rate expectations, was down 3.2 bps at 2.99%.
Italy's 10-year yield was down 5.9 basis points
at 3.85%, and the gap between Italian and German 10-year yields
widened 2 basis points to 131 bps.