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INDIA BONDS-India bond yields marginally lower; Powell's speech eyed
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INDIA BONDS-India bond yields marginally lower; Powell's speech eyed
Jul 8, 2024 10:13 PM

By Bhakti Tambe

MUMBAI, July 9 (Reuters) - Indian government bond yields

were marginally lower early on Tuesday, with traders awaiting

comments from U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell for hints

on the timing of a potential rate cut.

The benchmark 10-year yield was at 6.9833% as

of 10:20 a.m. IST, following its previous close at 6.9911%.

The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield was steady on Monday as

investors took a pause before getting guidance from the Fed and

from June inflation data, due on Thursday.

Powell's testimony before the Senate on Tuesday and the

House on Wednesday could give investors more clues on the likely

direction of rates.

The probability of a 25 basis point Fed rate cut in

September is currently at 71%, with traders betting on a total

of two 25 basis point cuts for the whole of 2024.

In India, traders are also waiting for local inflation data

on Friday and the first union budget of the newly-elected

government on July 23.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi's new government may tilt

towards, but not pivot to welfare spending, with a focus on

rural economy and job creation, economists at Goldman Sachs

said.

Goldman economists expect the government to stick to its

fiscal deficit target of 5.1% of GDP set in the interim budget

but said it will likely make an "overarching statement" about

long-term economic policy.

Later in the day, five states will raise 61 billion rupees

($730.65 million) through sale of bonds.

Barclays expects local retail inflation to have eased

marginally to 4.6% on-year in June, from 4.75% in May, but eyes

a sharp drop over the next few months.

($1 = 83.4875 Indian rupees)

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