(The opinions expressed here are those of the authors.)
By Anna Szymanski
July 24 (Reuters) - Every Friday, Reuters Open Interest
(ROI) distills the financial week into five key charts,
spotlighting the major trends, surprises and overlooked moves
that defined the past five days.
1. RED ALERT!
RON BOUSSO, ROI Energy Columnist: Saudi Arabia's Yanbu
export hub on its west coast, which depends on the Bab el-Mandeb
Strait, became the kingdom's primary outlet for crude exports
after the Strait of Hormuz was largely blocked following the
outbreak of war on February 28. But what initially appeared to
be a successful workaround has now become a target after the
Iran-backed Houthi militia declared a blockade against Saudi
vessels seeking to pass through the strait.
This could prove to be one crisis too many for today's strained
energy markets.
2. GILT TRIP
MIKE DOLAN, ROI Finance & Markets Columnist: Even though
benchmark 10-year British government borrowing rates remain the
highest of the G7 nations - around 5% - they have stayed
relatively calm amid new Prime Minister Andy Burnham's
spectacularly quick ascent.
Sensitivity to some of Burnham's specific plans may have
been curbed by two big potential buffers: moderating inflation
pressures and a drop in UK borrowing due to former Chancellor
Rachel Reeves' adherence to fiscal rules.
Still, gilt market discontent remains a risk if Burnham
fails to boost the Labour Party's election prospects, as that
would increase the likelihood of a victory by the right-wing
Reform UK party - an unpredictable wildcard for most investors.
3. YEN DOOM LOOP
JAMIE MCGEEVER, ROI Markets Columnist: The yen sank to its
lowest level against the dollar in 40 years this week, as the
dollar/yen rate rose above 163.00. While there are many causes
of this - including overall dollar strength and rising crude
prices - Japan also appears to be stuck in a policy "doom loop".
Global investors appear to have taken a dim view of Japan's
current policy mix: the fiscal stance is too loose, monetary
policy is not tight enough, and as ever with Japan, the coziness
between the two is stoking market concerns about the Bank of
Japan's independence. Options for escaping this predicament are
limited.
4. CRUDE VS FUELS
RON BOUSSO, ROI Energy Columnist: While crude prices may have
garnered all the headlines in recent months, refined products
like gasoline, diesel and jet fuel are coming under far greater
pressure. The global refining sector is being squeezed from many
sides, including the latest disruption in crude deliveries in
the Middle East as well as curtailed refinery operations in
Russia due to Ukrainian drone attacks on energy infrastructure.
Indian refiners are ramping up production, but that may only
help on the margins.
5. WILDFIRES' COLLATERAL DAMAGE
GAVIN MAGUIRE, ROI Global Energy Transition Columnist: More than
70 large wildfires have been burning across the United States,
and they are causing serious problems for the country's power
producers. Smoke is reducing the amount of solar radiation that
hits solar farms, reducing the amount of power generated and
making it harder to predict power flows across transmission
lines. These fires are also causing this disruption when grids
can least afford it - right as heat waves are upping demand.
Opinions expressed are those of the authors. They do not reflect
the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is
committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.