financetom
Market
financetom
/
Market
/
TREASURIES-US yields climb as June payrolls back patient Fed
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
TREASURIES-US yields climb as June payrolls back patient Fed
Jul 3, 2025 9:15 AM

(Adds new comment, more U.S. data, bullets, updates yields)

By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss

NEW YORK, July 3 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields rose

on Thursday after data showed the world's largest economy

created more jobs than expected last month, supporting the

Federal Reserve's patient stance on cutting interest rates.

In late morning trading, U.S. two-year yields, which track

interest rate expectations, rose 8.5 basis points to 3.874%

, while the benchmark 10-year yield gained 4.1 bps to

4.334%.

Volume has thinned, however, following the nonfarm payrolls

report, with U.S. bond markets closed on Friday for the July 4th

holiday.

On the political front, Republicans in the U.S. House of

Representatives advanced President Donald Trump's massive "One

Big Beautiful Bill" toward a final yes-or-no vote on Thursday,

overcoming internal party divisions over its cost.

The bill, if approved, would raise the debt ceiling by $5

trillion, which will allow the U.S. Treasury to increase bill

auction sizes in the coming weeks.

But Thursday's jobs report was the market's focus.

The report showed U.S. nonfarm payrolls increased by 147,000

jobs last month after an upwardly revised 144,000 gain in May.

Economists polled by Reuters had forecast payrolls rising

110,000 following a previously reported 139,000 gain in May.

The unemployment rate fell to 4.1% from 4.2% in May.

Economists had expected the jobless rate to tick up to 4.3%.

The headline numbers, however, obscure weaker details of the

report, analysts said.

Stan Shipley, fixed income strategist at Evercore ISI,

pointed to state and local government employment accounting for

50% of the overall gain. He also added that private service job

gains were only 68,000 and private goods producing jobs advanced

just 6,000, while temporary employment slipped.

The odds of a July cut shrank to 4.7% after the jobs data, from

about 25% before the report's release. Chances of a September

easing also dropped to 75%, compared with 98% just before.

There were only about 50 bps rate declines priced in 2025, from

about 67 bps before the report.

"You look at it at the headline number level and conclude

that the fears around the softer labor markets to this point

have continued to be worse than the reality," said Jim Baird,

chief investment officer, at Plante Moran Financial Advisors at

Southfield, Michigan.

"The job market appears to be hanging in there. I'd say

that you have to look at the next layer of the data and when you

see the pretty marked slowdown in job creation in the private

sector, there is still a cautionary note there."

The yield curve flattened after the data, with the spread

between two-year and 10-year yields at 45.4 bps

compared with 49.2 bps late Wednesday, as the bond market priced

in a likely delay in Fed easing.

Other economic data such as weekly jobless claims and services

sector index showed a still solid economy. Initial claims fell

to 233k in the last week of June, the lowest since mid-May, from

237,000 in the previous week, suggesting that the layoff rate

remained low.

U.S. services sector activity, on the other hand,

picked up

in June as orders rebounded, but employment contracted for

the third time this year, underscoring the impact of policy

uncertainty on businesses.

The Institute for Supply Management's (ISM)

nonmanufacturing purchasing managers index (PMI) increased to

50.8 last month from 49.9 in May. Economists polled by Reuters

had forecast the services PMI rising to 50.5.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Top Midday Stories: Novo Nordisk's Ozempic, Wegovy Among Drugs Chosen for US Medicare Price Talks; Supreme Court Allows TikTok Ban to Take Effect
Top Midday Stories: Novo Nordisk's Ozempic, Wegovy Among Drugs Chosen for US Medicare Price Talks; Supreme Court Allows TikTok Ban to Take Effect
Jan 17, 2025
12:14 PM EST, 01/17/2025 (MT Newswires) -- Wall Street's major market averages were higher around midday Friday ahead of a long Martin Luther King, Jr. holiday weekend and the inauguration of President-elect Donald Trump. In company news, Novo Nordisk ( NVO ) shares slid 4.8% after the Department of Health and Human Services said that the company's Ozempic, Wegovy and...
US STOCKS SNAPSHOT-Wall St opens higher in countdown to Trump presidency
US STOCKS SNAPSHOT-Wall St opens higher in countdown to Trump presidency
Jan 17, 2025
Jan 17 (Reuters) - Wall Street's main indexes opened higher on Friday, with the S&P 500 and the Dow looking set to log their biggest weekly gains since November, as investors anticipate a wave of policy changes under the incoming Trump administration. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 159.4 points, or 0.37%, at the open to 43,312.55. The S&P 500...
Dow Jumps Over 300 Points; US Industrial Production Beats Estimates
Dow Jumps Over 300 Points; US Industrial Production Beats Estimates
Jan 17, 2025
U.S. stocks traded higher this morning, with the Dow Jones index gaining over 300 points on Friday. Following the market opening Friday, the Dow traded up 0.76% to 43,482.39 while the NASDAQ rose 1.36% to 19,601.89. The S&P 500 also rose, gaining, 0.88% to 5,989.58. Check This Out: Top 3 Defensive Stocks That Could Blast Off This Quarter Leading and...
Gold Trades Lower Early as Dollar Rises Following Two Losing Sessions
Gold Trades Lower Early as Dollar Rises Following Two Losing Sessions
Jan 17, 2025
09:30 AM EST, 01/17/2025 (MT Newswires) -- Gold traded lower after three days of gains early Friday as the dollar rebounded from two days of losses that followed on soft U.S. economic data that spurred hopes for faster interest-rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. Gold for February delivery was last seen down US$12.80 to US$2,738.10 per ounce. U.S. economic data...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved