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Investors brace for strong consumer price index report
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US-China trade talks could impact global growth
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Yields on 10-year Treasury note slightly down
By Douglas Gillison
June 9 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields started the week
little changed on Monday, mostly holding on to gains seen from a
selloff last week prompted by an unexpectedly strong May jobs
report.
The employment data reported by the Labor Department on
Friday bolstered the view that the U.S. economy will prove more
resilient than feared while the outcome of the Trump
administration's multi-front trade war remains uncertain.
The outlook was poised to shift yet again with top U.S. and
Chinese officials scheduled to meet Monday in London to try to
reach a settlement in a widening trade dispute that threatens
supply chains and global growth.
Investors are also expecting a batch of inflation and
consumer sentiment data as well as auctions of 10- and 30-year
Treasuries later in the week.
Stan Shipley, fixed income strategist at Evercore ISI in New
York, said investors were bracing for an uncomfortably strong
consumer price index report on Wednesday.
"I think most people are expecting a kind of disheartening
core reading here after several months of low readings," he
said.
"The influence of tariffs is starting to be felt in consumer
prices," he added. "A lot of things that have held down core
readings are not going to be replicated this month."
Yields on the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury note
were last down 1.2 basis points to 4.498%. The
yield on the 30-year bond rose 1.1 basis points to
4.974%.
The curve between yields on two- and 10-year Treasury notes
, seen as an indicator of economic expectations,
was at a positive 48.0 basis points.
Economic data on Monday from the Commerce Department showed
wholesale inventories rose 0.2% in April, versus a consensus
expectation by economists polled by Reuters that they would
remain unchanged.
The two-year U.S. Treasury yield, which
typically moves in step with interest rate expectations, fell
2.7 basis points to 4.016%.
The breakeven rate on five-year U.S. Treasury
Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) was last at
2.357% after closing at 2.359% on Friday.
The 10-year TIPS breakeven rate was last at
2.317%, indicating the market sees inflation averaging about
2.3% a year for the next decade.