(Updated at 1500 EDT/1900 GMT)
By Karen Brettell
June 3 (Reuters) - Benchmark U.S. Treasury yields fell
to a two-week low on Monday after data showed that U.S.
manufacturing activity slowed for a second straight month in
May, boosting expectations that a softening economy may allow
the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates later this year.
Manufacturing weakened as new goods orders dropped by the
most in nearly two years, while a measure of input inflation
fell back from the highest since mid-2022.
U.S. construction spending also fell unexpectedly for a
second consecutive month in April on declines in non-residential
activity.
"On the one hand, this (manufacturing data) is another
survey that seems to show pessimism and weaker economic
activity. On the other hand, these surveys aren't as reliable as
they used to be," said Will Compernolle, macro strategist at FHN
Financial in New York.
Compernolle noted that the data "comes on the back of slower
personal spending that we saw last Friday and a host of other
things that people are looking to for weaker economic activity."
Traders are gauging when the Fed is likely to begin cutting
interest rates as inflation remains above its 2% annual target.
Friday's personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index
for April showed that price pressures stabilized in the month
while consumer spending slowed, boosting bets that the Fed could
cut rates as soon as September.
Benchmark 10-year note yields fell 11 basis
points to 4.402%, and got as low as 4.392%, the lowest since May
17.
Two-year note yields fell 8 basis points to 4.818%
and reached 4.814%, the lowest since May 20.
The inversion in the two-year, 10-year yield curve
deepened 4 basis points to minus 42 basis points.
This week's main U.S. economic release will be jobs data for
May due on Friday, with May's consumer price inflation report on
June 12 the next major focus.
Other jobs data this week will include the Job Openings and
Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) report for April on Tuesday and
the ADP National Employment report for May on Wednesday.
Next week's inflation data will be critical for setting Fed
expectations, and investors will be looking for further signs
that inflation is easing following higher-than-expected readings
in the first quarter.
The Fed will also update its economic and interest rate
projections when it concludes its two-day meeting on June 12.