Sept 25 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields rose on
Thursday following stronger-than-expected second-quarter
economic data that could strengthen the case for a rates pause
from the Federal Reserve at its next October meeting.
The benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury note yield
was last up 4.6 basis points (bps) at 4.193%. It hit its highest
level since September 5 on Monday.
The 30-year bond yield was last up 1.7 bps at
4.772%.
The uptick in yields follows a series of economic data reports
Thursday morning that surprised to the upside. These included
initial jobless claims last week that were lower than analysts'
forecasts.
Further data showed that existing home sales declined in August
amid affordability issues and high mortgage rates.
GDP data showed the economy grew in the second quarter, driven
by an ebb in imports and strong consumer spending.
"It seems like we're reacting more to the GDP upside
surprise," said Molly Brooks, U.S. rates strategist at TD
Securities, about the uptick in two- and 10-year Treasury
yields.
"(But) I think markets are still biased towards seeing a
slowdown in data going forward," she cautioned.
Market participants are looking to further data, especially
for the third quarter, showing the direction of inflation and
the job market for signs of the Fed's rates decision at its
October meeting.
Markets are pricing in an 83% chance of a 25 bps cut in
October following Powell's Tuesday speech, and 17% odds of a
pause. U.S. rate futures have also priced in 44 bps worth of
cuts through the end of the year, according to LSEG data.
The two-year yield, which typically reflects
interest rate expectations, was last up 5.7 bps from Wednesday's
close at 3.655%. It hit a three-week high of 3.6% on Monday.
The Treasury Department will auction $44 billion in
seven-year notes on Thursday afternoon. The auction
will follow two- and five-year auctions earlier in the week that
saw around average demand from primary dealers.