NEW YORK, Oct 18 (Reuters) - U.S. semiconductor
companies will get a closer look from investors in coming weeks,
after diverging reports from two industry leaders abroad set off
a volatile few days of trading.
Because semiconductors are key components in a broad array
of products, chipmakers and related equipment companies are
closely followed for insight into the economy. Wall Street also
watches the stocks as indicators of overall market trends.
This year, the industry has been at the center of the
artificial intelligence enthusiasm powering the stock market to
record highs, highlighted by massive gains for Nvidia ( NVDA ),
the AI poster child.
"It's vitally important that these chip stocks hold up,"
said Matt Maley, chief market strategist at Miller Tabak. "If
they go down, it weighs on the rest of the market."
The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has pulled
back after climbing more than 40% in the first half of the year.
It is now up about 25% in 2024 against a 22.5% gain for the
benchmark S&P 500.
Semiconductor and related equipment stocks account for 11.5%
of the weight of the S&P 500. Nvidia ( NVDA ), which is approaching Apple ( AAPL )
as the largest company by market value, holds a 6.8%
weight in the index.
The sector had its share of drama in the past week. Chip
shares tumbled on Tuesday after equipment maker ASML,
Europe's biggest tech firm, projected lower-than-expected 2025
sales and bookings. But the group rebounded on Thursday after
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co ( TSM ), which produces
advanced chips used in AI applications, reported a
forecast-beating 54% jump in quarterly profit.
Following the dueling announcements, the SOX semiconductor
index is down 2.5% so far this week, with the S&P 500 up 0.5%.
The semiconductor group could take its next cues from
imminent corporate reports, including from Texas Instruments ( TXN )
and equipment company Lam Research ( LRCX ) next week.
Texas Instruments' ( TXN ) products are used in a broad range of
applications, including automotive and industrial, and could be
a barometer for whether such areas that have been sluggish for
the chip industry are starting to rebound, said Daniel Morgan,
portfolio manager at Synovus Trust.
Overall, Morgan said, the semiconductor group is trading at
5.6 times price-to-book valuation, which he said was fair,
noting that group topped 8 times price-to-book levels in 2021.
Advanced Micro Devices' ( AMD ) earnings report the
following week will give some initial insight into AI-related
demand ahead of Nvidia's ( NVDA ) highly anticipated report due late next
month.
If AMD's 2025 forecast for its AI chips is strong, "that's
going to be bullish for the sector," Maley said.
The semiconductor reports are due in a busy week for U.S.
corporate earnings overall, with well over 100 S&P 500 companies
set to report, including Tesla, Coca-Cola and
IBM ( IBM ).
"The (semiconductor) group is very important, if nothing
else because of the market cap that it carries," said Chuck
Carlson, chief executive officer at Horizon Investment Services.