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Wall St Week Ahead-Wall Street zeroes in on semiconductors after turbulent week
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Wall St Week Ahead-Wall Street zeroes in on semiconductors after turbulent week
Oct 20, 2024 6:17 AM

NEW YORK, Oct 18 (Reuters) - U.S. semiconductor

companies will get a closer look from investors in coming weeks,

after diverging reports from two industry leaders abroad set off

a volatile few days of trading.

Because semiconductors are key components in a broad array

of products, chipmakers and related equipment companies are

closely followed for insight into the economy. Wall Street also

watches the stocks as indicators of overall market trends.

This year, the industry has been at the center of the

artificial intelligence enthusiasm powering the stock market to

record highs, highlighted by massive gains for Nvidia ( NVDA ),

the AI poster child.

"It's vitally important that these chip stocks hold up,"

said Matt Maley, chief market strategist at Miller Tabak. "If

they go down, it weighs on the rest of the market."

The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has pulled

back after climbing more than 40% in the first half of the year.

It is now up about 25% in 2024 against a 22.5% gain for the

benchmark S&P 500.

Semiconductor and related equipment stocks account for 11.5%

of the weight of the S&P 500. Nvidia ( NVDA ), which is approaching Apple ( AAPL )

as the largest company by market value, holds a 6.8%

weight in the index.

The sector had its share of drama in the past week. Chip

shares tumbled on Tuesday after equipment maker ASML,

Europe's biggest tech firm, projected lower-than-expected 2025

sales and bookings. But the group rebounded on Thursday after

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co ( TSM ), which produces

advanced chips used in AI applications, reported a

forecast-beating 54% jump in quarterly profit.

Following the dueling announcements, the SOX semiconductor

index is down 2.5% so far this week, with the S&P 500 up 0.5%.

The semiconductor group could take its next cues from

imminent corporate reports, including from Texas Instruments ( TXN )

and equipment company Lam Research ( LRCX ) next week.

Texas Instruments' ( TXN ) products are used in a broad range of

applications, including automotive and industrial, and could be

a barometer for whether such areas that have been sluggish for

the chip industry are starting to rebound, said Daniel Morgan,

portfolio manager at Synovus Trust.

Overall, Morgan said, the semiconductor group is trading at

5.6 times price-to-book valuation, which he said was fair,

noting that group topped 8 times price-to-book levels in 2021.

Advanced Micro Devices' ( AMD ) earnings report the

following week will give some initial insight into AI-related

demand ahead of Nvidia's ( NVDA ) highly anticipated report due late next

month.

If AMD's 2025 forecast for its AI chips is strong, "that's

going to be bullish for the sector," Maley said.

The semiconductor reports are due in a busy week for U.S.

corporate earnings overall, with well over 100 S&P 500 companies

set to report, including Tesla, Coca-Cola and

IBM ( IBM ).

"The (semiconductor) group is very important, if nothing

else because of the market cap that it carries," said Chuck

Carlson, chief executive officer at Horizon Investment Services.

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