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US Dollar Slumps After NFPs Miss Expectations, US Equities Bid
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US Dollar Slumps After NFPs Miss Expectations, US Equities Bid
May 4, 2024 11:22 AM

US Dollar Slumps After NFPs Miss Expectations, US Equities Bid

US NFPs print at 175k vs. forecasts of 243k.US dollar slumps as rate cut expectations improve.

Recommended by Nick Cawley Get Your Free USD Forecast For all economic data releases and events see the DailyFX Economic Calendar

The latest US Jobs Report showed hiring slowed in April with just 175k new jobs added compared to forecasts of 243k and an upwardly revised 315k in March (from 303k). Average hourly earnings y/y fell by two-tenths of a percentage point to 3.9%, while the unemployment rate ticked 0.1% higher to 3.9%.

Today’s release pushed market expectations of rate cuts higher, with the latest probabilities showing around 50 basis points of rate cuts this year. At the start of the week, this figure was around 28 basis points. According to market forecasts, a September rate cut is now fully priced in.

Learn how to trade data and news events with our free, expert guide.

Recommended by Nick Cawley Trading Forex News: The Strategy The US dollar fell sharply post-NFP release with the dollar index breaking through the 105.00 level with ease. The next level of support, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, is seen at 104.38.

US Dollar Index Daily Chart

US indices pushed higher after the Jobs Report with Nasdaq futures adding 200 points before drifting a touch lower…

Nasdaq Futures 10 Minute Chart

…while the SP futures added just over 40 points.

SP 500 Futures 10 Minute Chart

US 500 Bullish Data provided by of clients are net long. of clients are net short.

Change in Longs Shorts OI
Daily -11% 8% -1%
Weekly -6% 8% 2%
What does it mean for price action? What are your views on the US Dollar – bullish or bearish?? You can let us know via the form at the end of this piece or you can contact the author via Twitter .

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