SAO PAULO, Nov 12 (Reuters) - Brazil's benchmark stock
index Ibovespa has been setting consecutive record
highs, testing the 158,000-point mark in its longest winning
streak in more than 30 years.
WHY IT'S IMPORTANT
The rally reflects early pricing of an expected easing cycle
of Brazil's benchmark Selic rate, analysts said, also citing the
impact of the Fed's rate cuts, which tends to favor emerging
markets.
Corporate earnings season has reinforced a positive view on
fundamentals, while valuations keep the Ibovespa attractive
compared with peers.
BY THE NUMBERS
The Ibovespa completed on Tuesday 15 straight sessions of
gains, a streak not seen since May-June 1994, having climbed
9.5% during the run and over 30% year-to-date. On Wednesday, the
index was down a slight 0.5%.
ADDITIONAL CONTEXT
Brazil is among the few emerging markets trading at a
price-to-earnings ratio of around 9 times for the next 12
months, while many peers trade between 13 and 20 times,
according to Santander Corretora strategist Ricardo Peretti.
KEY QUOTES
"From a macro perspective, the market is starting to price
in the beginning of the Selic cut cycle more clearly,' said Itau
BBA chief strategist Daniel Gewehr, noting that such cycles have
historically boosted equities over six months.
UBS BB analysts said investors, mostly emerging market
funds, remain relatively optimistic about Brazil.
"The positive sentiment was driven by the sense that
valuations still look cheap even after the rally, policy rates
must come down and there should be a fiscal adjustment
irrespective of the elections outcome in 2026," UBS BB wrote in
a client report.
($1 = 5.4039 reais)