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Brazil's government improves fiscal outlook for the year
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Argentina dollar deposits spike by $8 billion under Milei
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Chile mulled 25, 50-bps rate cuts at Sept meeting- minutes
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Latam FX down 0.5%, stocks down 0.7%
By Ankika Biswas
Sept 23 (Reuters) - An index tracking major Latin
American currencies fell to an over one-week low on Monday after
recent gains, dragged by the Brazilian real, while the Mexican
peso regained some lost ground ahead of a monetary policy
decision due later in the week.
The MSCI index for Latam currencies dipped
0.5% after logging its third straight weekly advance on Friday.
Brazil's real fell 0.8% against the dollar, emerging
as the worst regional performer. The currency hit a 10-day low,
retreating for the second session after a six-day winning
streak.
Brazil's government slightly reduced the expected primary
deficit for the current fiscal year late on Friday, attributing
the revision to improved revenues that more than offset the need
for a new expenditure freeze to ensure compliance with a
spending cap.
Peru's sol also dipped 0.5%, likely weighed down by
weak copper prices. Moody's Ratings changed the country's
outlook to "stable" from "negative," affirming its "Baa1"
ratings.
On the flip side, the Mexican peso strengthened 0.3%
against the greenback, after a three-day losing streak.
The country's central bank is set to announce its policy
decision on Thursday. Following its 25-basis-point rate cut in
early August in a divided vote, an easing in the latest headline
inflation report boosted expectations of yet another cut.
However, an inflation report out of the Latam nation is due
on Tuesday that could provide further clues on the policy
outcome.
"Mexican CPI and economic activity data could surprise
significantly lower and lift the odds of a 50-bps cut by
Banxico. Still, a cautious 25-bps rate cut remains the likelier
move," Scotiabank said in a note.
Among others, Chile's peso was the top regional
gainer, hitting an almost one-week high, while the benchmark
stocks index fell after investors returned from a
three-day equity market holiday.
Minutes from Chile's September policy meeting showed the
central bank considered lowering the benchmark rate by 25 or 50
basis points, but "quickly ruled out" the second option.
Colombia's peso also strengthened 0.2% to hit an over
two-week high. The government is yet to present a budget
proposal to Congress ahead of its revised deadline of Sept. 25.
Central bank data showed Argentina's foreign currency
deposits have jumped by around $8 billion since libertarian
President Javier Milei took office in December, driven by a
series of pro-market austerity measures and incentives to lure
dollars back into the financial system.
Elsewhere, Sri Lanka's benchmark stock index jumped
over 1% to a near one-month high, while its dollar bonds slipped
2 cents, after the newly elected leftist leader Anura Kumara
Dissanayake took over as president of the island nation.
HIGHLIGHTS:
** Mexican economy grows 0.6% in July from June, July retail
sales rise 0.7% from June
** Czechs to offer up to CZK 21 bln in bonds in October,
plans new 20-year bond
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies at 1416 GMT:
Equities Latest Daily % change
MSCI Emerging Markets 1109.61 0.29
MSCI LatAm 2207.31 -0.80
Brazil Bovespa 130686.31 -0.29
Mexico IPC 52143.47 -0.09
Chile IPSA 6326.41 -0.32
Argentina Merval 1822928.29 NULL
Colombia COLCAP 1320.76 -0.01
Currencies Latest Daily % change
Brazil real 5.5584 -0.87
Mexico peso 19.3263 0.4
Chile peso 922.96 0.79
Colombia peso 4144.02 0.22
Peru sol 3.7589 -0.4
Argentina peso (interbank) 965 -0.207253886
Argentina peso (parallel) 1225 1.632653061