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Bank of Mexico's Mejia eyes rate cut, but cautious on
inflation
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Brazil's VP sees dollar between 4.9-5 reais as competitive
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Argentina clears over $52 billion in massive bond swap
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FX up 0.3%, stocks up 0.6%
By Ankika Biswas
March 13 (Reuters) - Currencies of most resource-endowed
Latin American countries gained against a stalling dollar on
Wednesday, with the Chilean peso in the lead, boosted by
strength in prices of key commodities such as copper and crude
oil.
The MSCI index tracking Latam currencies
climbed 0.3% by 10:20 a.m. ET (1420 GMT) to an almost two-month
high, while the stocks gauge rose 0.6%.
The U.S. dollar held steady as traders looked past
hotter-than-expected inflation data and still expected a Federal
Reserve interest rate cut in June.
Top copper producer Chile's peso gained 1% to an over
one-month high as prices of the red metal touched their highest
level in seven months after Chinese smelters, which process half
of the world's mined copper, agreed on a joint production cut.
The currency of Peru, another top copper producer,
was also up 0.8% to a seven-month high.
The peso currencies of major oil exporters Mexico
and Colombia also climbed 0.3% and 0.2%, respectively, as
the commodity's prices spiked 2%, supported by potential supply
disruption after Ukrainian attacks on Russian refineries, signs
of strong demand and hopes that the Federal Reserve might start
cutting interest rates soon despite sticky U.S. inflation.
On the flip side, major iron ore producer and exporter
Brazil's real slipped 0.2% as the mineral's prices
declined to over six-month lows on fears of a reduction in
demand in top consumer China.
On Tuesday, Brazil's Vice President Geraldo Alckmin said in
an interview that the dollar trading between 4.9 reais ($0.9860)
and 5.0 reais is competitive and helps the country's exports.
"While a lot is happening at once in Latin America, the most
evident common trend is that the region's central banks led the
easing wave among EM, as the early tightening cycle led to
significant disinflation and allowed them to cut rates ahead of
the US Fed," Barclays analysts wrote.
"Now they have to be more careful as disinflation loses
steam."
Most Latam currencies have failed to continue their strong
performance in 2023, as markets push back the expected timeline
for U.S. rate cuts, while many of the region's central banks
continue to ease policy and economic woes in top commodities
consumer China weigh on sentiment. Chile's peso is the worst
performer within the Latam space so far this year.
Bank of Mexico Deputy Governor Omar Mejia argued in a
podcast that it is not premature to consider lowering interest
rates, though he cautioned that any future cuts should remain
restrictive.
Meanwhile, Argentina's government cleared some 42.6 trillion
Argentine pesos ($52.5 billion) in a massive $65 billion bond
swap it issued to push back debts due this year, its economy
ministry said on Tuesday.
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
Stock indexes Latest Daily %
change
MSCI Emerging Markets 1046.16 -0.28
MSCI LatAm 2506.58 0.63
Brazil Bovespa 128205.10 0.42
Mexico IPC 54985.31 0.16
Chile IPSA 6517.64 0.24
Argentina MerVal 0.00 0
Colombia COLCAP 1284.51 0.46
Currencies Latest Daily %
change
Brazil real 4.9813 -0.15
Mexico peso 16.7415 0.32
Chile peso 949.4 0.98
Colombia peso 3911.3 0.17
Peru sol 3.6569 0.79
Argentina peso (interbank) 849.5000 -0.06
Argentina peso (parallel) 1015 0.49