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Zloty, forint climb after French elections
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Robust demand boosts India factory growth in June, PMI
shows
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Turkey could get funding boost after FATF upgrade, Simsek
says
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Chinese factory activity up in June
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Stocks up 0.1%, FX flat
By Johann M Cherian
July 1 (Reuters) - The rand led gains among most
emerging market currencies on Monday after South Africa unveiled
its long-awaited cabinet following recent elections, while
investors also parsed through several factory activity surveys
from local economies.
The currency strengthened 1% and hit over a one-week
high after President Cyril Ramaphosa announced his long-awaited
new 32-member cabinet of the country's first coalition
government, including appointing a former opposition leader as
agriculture minister.
Yields on South Africa's benchmark sovereign bond
slipped 12 basis points (bps), while the all-share equities
index rose 0.9% and notched a one-week high.
"Markets will be hoping that the broader political party
inclusion in parliament can results in fast-tracked structural
reform and help lift economic growth within the country. There
might be a narrative to start easing rates sooner to further
support growth," said Shaun Murison, senior market analyst at
IG.
The rand has swung between outsized gains and declines as
uncertainty brewed in the run-up to the announcement.
MSCI's index-tracking equities in the developing world
inched up 0.1%, while the currencies index
was flat against the dollar.
Investors await U.S. employment reports throughout the week
that can impact the Federal Reserve's policy path.
With most emerging market currencies trading at record lows,
they stand the risk of further depreciation as local central
banks cut interest rates even as the Fed delays its easing
cycle.
China's blue-chip stocks closed up 0.5% and the
Shanghai index ended higher by 0.9% after a survey
showed manufacturing activity in the world's second-largest
economy grew at the fastest pace in more than three years in
June.
However, the numbers contrasted official data that was
released on Sunday.
Turkey's lira strengthened 0.5%. The local
finance minister said foreign investment could accelerate after
the country was lifted from an international financial crime
watchdog's "grey list" late last week.
Ahead of June inflation data due on Wednesday, he also added
that monthly inflation would ease to 2% and 1% in the upcoming
period.
In South Asia, India's BSE Sensex equity index
added 0.6%. Data showed manufacturing activity rebounded in June
on robust demand, despite inflationary pressures remaining
elevated.
In Europe, the focus is squarely on elections in France
following the far-right National Rally party's historic win, and
analysts at Barclays expect central and eastern European
currencies to be sensitive to further developments ahead of
Sunday's runoff.
Poland's zloty climbed 0.4% against the euro,
while Hungary's forint firmed 0.5% to a three-week
high.
Markets also assessed manufacturing surveys in the region,
ahead of central bank policy decisions out of Poland and Romania
later in the week.