(Updates at 0920 GMT)
By Samuel Indyk
LONDON, April 23 (Reuters) - Eurozone government bond
yields were steady on Tuesday as traders digested mixed
Purchasing Managers' Index data from the euro area, which did
not offer any new hints on how fast the European Central Bank
could lower borrowing costs.
Overall business activity in the euro zone expanded at its
fastest pace in nearly a year, HCOB's preliminary composite PMI
survey showed, propelled by a recovery in the bloc's dominant
services sector.
But manufacturing activity contracted, with the PMI falling
to 45.6 from 46.1, holding below the 50 threshold that indicates
expansion for the 22nd consecutive month.
Germany's 10-year bond yield, the benchmark for
the euro zone bloc, was last little changed at 2.49%.
ECB officials are sticking to plans to begin lowering
interest rates from their record high in June, although their
intentions post the June meeting are less certain.
"The ECB has been clear with its near-announcement of the
first cut in June, with the pace and extent of following cuts
continuing to be very much data-dependent," said Philippe
Noyard, global head of fixed income at Candriam.
Money markets were pricing around 76 basis points of
monetary easing from the ECB this year, or
the equivalent of around three quarter-point cuts.
On Monday, markets had been pricing around 72 points of
easing in 2024.
ECB Vice President Luis de Guindos said the central bank
needs to be cautious about moves after June and take into
account signals from the U.S. Federal Reserve.
Markets were pricing only around 40 basis points of easing
from the Fed this year, having trimmed expectations for rate
cuts given robust economic growth and inflation that has been
stickier than the euro area.
"We think the ECB can be a bit more front-loaded than the
Fed in cutting rates but they won't want to diverge too much,"
said Amanda Sundström, strategist at SEB.
"Our main case is that the Fed will do something but the
euro area is looking less strong than the U.S. and inflation is
falling faster," Sundström added.
The spread between U.S. 10-year Treasuries and German bunds
, a gauge of the monetary policy divergence between
the U.S. and the euro zone, was at 213 bps, just off its widest
level since 2019 at 220.9 bps reached recently.
Sundström said that the spread could widen further in the
near term as the ECB is expected to move before the Fed, but in
the longer run does not think the divergence will be as large as
the Fed embarks on its own easing cycle.
Italy's 10-year yield was lower by 1 bp at
3.81%, and the gap between Italian and German bunds
narrowed by 1 bp to 130 bps.
Germany's two-year bond yield, which is sensitive
to changes in ECB rate expectations, was flat at 2.97%.