(Updates for early European afternoon trading)
* BOJ Governor Ueda's upcoming speech eyed for rate hike
signals
* Fed speakers, jobs data in focus this week
By Samuel Indyk and Rocky Swift
LONDON, June 1 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar was steady on
Monday after a small weekly loss as investors awaited
developments in Middle Eastpeace talks and U.S. jobs data later
this week that could shape the Federal Reserve's monetary policy
path.
The dollar index, which measures the currency against six peers,
edged lower last week on expectations that a deal between the
United States and Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz was close.
The closure of the key oil artery has lifted oil prices and
worsened the inflation outlook, leading some to expect the Fed
would raise rates this year.
But with little fresh insight into the progress of peace
talks and a flare-up of hostilities between the U.S. and Iran
over the weekend, currency markets are in wait-and-see mode.
"We're waiting to see some progress in one direction or
another," said Tommy von Brömsen, FX strategist at
Handelsbanken.
Should the Strait of Hormuz reopen to traffic and oil prices
come down, the dollar would likely weaken in the near term and
risk-sensitive currencies, such as the Swedish crown, would
outperform, von Brömsen added.
The dollar had rallied at the onset of the conflict, buoyed
by safe-haven demand and the U.S. economy's relatively limited
exposure to energy-driven inflation. However, it has given back
some of those gains due to uncertainty surrounding the
conflict's trajectory.
The dollar index was little changed on the day at
99.05 after last week's drop of 0.4%.
The euro was down 0.1% at $1.1645, while sterling
edged up 0.1% to $1.3464.
FED WATCH
Markets are betting the Fed's next move will be to raise its key
rate, compared with expectations for a cut before the start of
the Iran war, given rising energy prices and the impact they
will have on inflation, and a still-resilient jobs market.
The U.S. labour market figures due on June 5 could help sway
what the Fed will do in the near term. The data are expected to
show a steady unemployment rate of 4.3% and an increase of
85,000 jobs, according to a Reuters poll of economists.
Fed Governor Jerome Powell, whose term as chair formally ended
on May 15, warned in a speech on Sunday about politicisation of
monetary policy. Powell has decided to continue as a Fed
governor in part because of what he regards as ongoing threats
to the Fed's independence.
The Fed's Beth Hammack, Lorie Logan and Mary Daly are among
policymakers due to speak later in the week.
YEN IN FOCUS
A speech by Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda on Wednesday
is also highly anticipated for signals as to whether the central
bank will proceed with a rate increase the following week.
While there is no consensus yet within the BOJ on the decision,
a pause in the central bank's taper of government bond purchases
is increasingly seen as a preferred option, said two sources
familiar with the deliberations.
The yen weakened 0.1% to 159.46 per dollar, close to
the psychologically important 160 level that saw intervention by
Japanese authorities to strengthen the currency.
"It seems like 160 is where they draw the line," said
Handelsbanken's Tommy von Brömsen.
"I think there will be intervention if we approach that
level again."
The Australian dollar traded 0.1% lower at $0.7173
against the dollar, while New Zealand's kiwi slid 0.6% to
$0.5955.
(Reporting by Samuel Indyk and Rocky Swift; Editing by Clarence
Fernandez, Shri Navaratnam and Chizu Nomiyama )