* Softer US PPI adds to evidence of cooling inflation to
weigh on dollar
* Traders expect Fed to skip July rate hike
* Oil near one-month high on Strait of Hormuz blockade, US
strikes
(Recasts lede; updates prices throughout, analyst comments,
byline; adds NEW YORK dateline)
By Laura Matthews and Samuel Indyk
NEW YORK/LONDON, July 15 (Reuters) - The dollar slipped
against major currencies on Wednesday after softer-than-expected
U.S. producer prices reinforced signs of easing inflation,
bolstering the view that the Federal Reserve can remain patient
on interest rates even as investors weighed renewed strikes on
Iran.
The Producer Price Index for final demand dropped 0.3% in June
after a downwardly revised 0.6% increase in May, the Bureau of
Labor Statistics said on Wednesday. Economists polled by Reuters
had forecast the PPI unchanged after a previously reported 1.1%
advance in May.
The dollar was flat against the yen at 162.19 yen. The
euro steadied at $1.1433, while sterling rose
0.44% to $1.3447.
The U.S. dollar index, which tracks the currency against
six major peers, softened 0.09% to 100.79. It fell 0.4% in the
previous session, its biggest decline in nearly two weeks, after
touching its highest level since July 2.
"Today's PPI numbers further solidify the idea that the Federal
Reserve can afford to wait until they increase borrowing costs
again," said Juan Perez, director of trading at Monex USA.
Meanwhile, New York Fed President John Williams said inflation
remains "unquestionably too high" but may have peaked and should
begin easing, adding that monetary policy is well positioned to
guide it back to target.
EYES ON THE MIDDLE EAST
The latest escalation in hostilities between the U.S. and Iran
kept oil prices near one-month highs, maintaining pressure on
the inflation outlook.
The U.S. military said it had begun a new wave of strikes on
Iran at 6 a.m. ET (1000 GMT) on Wednesday, after U.S. President
Donald Trump said on Tuesday that Washington had reimposed a
naval blockade of all Iranian ports.
The dollar has tended to benefit during flare-ups in the
conflict because of its safe-haven status and the relatively
limited impact of higher energy prices on the U.S. economy
compared with some peers.
Cooler U.S. inflation had earlier weighed on the dollar. U.S.
consumer inflation slowed more than expected to 3.5% on a
year-on-year basis in June, data showed on Tuesday.
The headline consumer price index fell 0.4% month-on-month,
its first decline since April 2020, as energy prices retreated.
"The recent declines in CPI and PPI have largely been
attributed to energy price volatility following the pullback
after the Iran ceasefire," said Steve Kolano, chief investment
officer at Integrated Partners. "However, given recent events,
that trend is expected to reverse."
New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh told the House Financial Services
Committee on Tuesday that the central bank has "no tolerance"
for persistently elevated inflation, and pledged to "do my job"
if challenged by Trump.
Traders are now pricing in about a 74% chance of a December rate
hike, down from around 80% yesterday, while a move later this
month is seen as highly unlikely, according to LSEG data.
Elsewhere, China's economic growth slowed sharply to 4.3% in
the second quarter, its weakest pace in more than three years.
The yuan briefly firmed to a one-month high as the
data reinforced expectations of further policy support.
"I see limited follow-through to the dollar's post-CPI decline,"
said Elias Haddad, global head of markets strategy at Brown
Brothers Harriman in London, adding that U.S. economic
outperformance, the Fed's commitment to fight inflation and
strong foreign demand for U.S. assets should keep the greenback
supported.