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Swiss franc rises as investors seek safe havens amid stock
selloff
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Fed officials cautious on further easing due to inflation
concerns
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UK pound drops after reports of no income tax rise in
budget
(Updated in New York morning time)
By Karen Brettell
NEW YORK, Nov 14 (Reuters) - The Swiss franc gained on
Friday as a global stock market selloff sent investors to safe
havens, while the pound weakened after a report the UK budget
will not include income tax rises.
Rising expectations that the Federal Reserve will hold rates
steady in December instead of continuing to ease have dented
risk appetite.
More Fed officials signalled caution on Thursday over
further easing, citing worries about inflation. Investors now
see a 50% chance of a 25-basis-point cut in December.
Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid on Friday said his
concerns about "too hot" inflation go well beyond the narrow
effects of tariffs alone, in fresh remarks that signaled he
could dissent again at the Fed's December meeting should
policymakers opt to cut short-term borrowing costs again.
Traders are preparing for an avalanche of economic reports
that were delayed by the U.S. federal government shutdown, but
which will likely include crucial gaps for October, when the
data wasn't collected.
Markets are "disjointed because of the lack of data and the
people reacting to the Fed speakers," said Lou Brien, strategist
at DRW Trading in Chicago.
The Commerce Department's Bureau of Economic Analysis said
on Friday it was working to update its schedule of economic data
releases affected by the recently ended government shutdown.
If data shows further labor market weakness, the dollar may
resume its weakening trend from earlier this year as traders
reprice for more rate cuts.
SAFETY IN SWITZERLAND
The euro was last down 0.2% and got as low as 0.9177 francs,
its lowest since 2015's dramatic swings when Swiss authorities
de-pegged their currency from the euro.
The dollar weakened 0.04% to 0.793 francs.
Meanwhile the United States will slash its tariffs on goods
from Switzerland to 15% from a crippling 39% under a new
framework trade agreement, the Swiss government said on Friday.
The Japanese yen strengthened 0.14% to 154.31 per
dollar but remains in sight of the nine-month low against the
greenback it hit just a few days ago.
The euro fell 0.11% to $1.1618.
Typically, higher U.S. yields and a stock market selloff
would see investors rush to the greenback. Earlier this year
during the turmoil sparked by U.S. President Donald Trump's
tariff announcements, however, the dollar fell alongside stocks
and bonds.
"I think we've learned something about dollar positioning
from this," said Jane Foley, head of FX strategy at Rabobank.
She said markets which had been short dollars after the
tariff turmoil had been gradually covering those positions.
"And then this week, because the market was no longer short,
they were rebuilding those again, so there has been a lot of
position adjustment going on, which has meant it's very
difficult to judge the normal reaction," Foley said.
UK TURMOIL
The pound tumbled against both the dollar and the euro after
media reports, including from Reuters, that British Prime
Minister Keir Starmer and Finance Minister Rachel Reeves have
abandoned plans to raise income tax rates, marking a sharp shift
just weeks ahead of the November 26 budget.
The British currency was last down 0.33% at $1.3146. The
euro hit its highest rate to the pound since April 2023.
In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin was caught up in the risk-off
mood as well. It fell 2.55% to $96,286, its lowest since May.