(Updates throughout)
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Europe stocks, euro rise ahead of German spending vote
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Dollar weakens as US data points south
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Trump, Putin to hold call on Ukraine
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Safe-haven flows keep gold above $3,000
By Amanda Cooper
LONDON, March 18 (Reuters) - European markets held firm
on Tuesday ahead of German lawmakers voting on a landmark
overhaul to government spending, while uncertainty over a call
on Ukraine between U.S. President Donald Trump and Russia's
Vladimir Putin kept gold at $3,000 an ounce.
This month has brought a huge divergence between the
performance of U.S. stocks and those elsewhere, particularly in
Europe and China, where markets have seen a surge in inflows
from investors that have cashed in on Wall Street's sky-high
valuations.
Trump's erratic approach to trade policy, coupled with his
mass firings of federal employees, has stirred up uncertainty
for companies, households and investors and U.S. economic data
is starting to reflect that.
Europe's STOXX 600, which on Tuesday was up 0.5%,
has risen by 8% this year, compared with a 4% drop in the S&P
500, marking the biggest outperformance in European
stocks against the U.S. index in the first 12 weeks of the year
in a decade.
The euro, meanwhile, rose further above $1.09 to
its highest since early October, supported by this month's steep
rise in German bond yields.
Germany's lower house of parliament votes later on Tuesday
on a massive surge in borrowing that could boost Europe's
largest economy and stimulate growth across the region, a key
factor in the euro's recent strength.
"History will be made today when the Bundestag approves a
change to the constitution, abandoning the fiscal stance Germany
has always been known for," Commerzbank chief rates strategist
Christoph Rieger said.
German 10-year government bonds were last at 2.843%, up 4
basis points on the day and up 45 bps this month
The prospect of a ceasefire and eventual peace in Ukraine
has helped shore up sentiment in Europe in recent weeks. A
scheduled call between Trump and Putin later on Tuesday to
discuss steps to end the conflict could cover territorial
concessions by Kyiv and control of a nuclear power plant, which
injected a degree of caution into markets.
GOLD STAR
Gold, which has roared above $3,000 for the first
time on record driven by safe-haven flows, held above this level
on Tuesday, bringing gains for the year to 15%.
"In uncertain times, central banks and individuals demand
gold, while inflation concerns emanating from President Trump's
tariffs and trade war are also boosting the price of gold. Life
above $3,000 per ounce could be the norm for the gold price in
2025," XTB research director Kathleen Brooks said.
Asian stock markets also got a bump higher on Tuesday from
stronger retail sales data from China the previous day, as well
as from a series of steps aimed at revitalising domestic
consumption in the world's second-largest economy.
Hong Kong shares hit a three-year peak, while Japan's
Nikkei bounced 1.5%, putting it on course for its
sharpest rise in three weeks.
China has been an unlikely winner of Trump's burst of
tariffs and cuts to government spending in his first two months
in office, as fears of a U.S. slowdown turn investors abroad.
"Momentum and sentiment are shifting now as well in a
positive way," said Nick Ferres, chief investment officer at
Vantage Point Asset Management in Singapore.
Trump said Chinese President Xi Jinping may visit the U.S.
in the not-too-distant future, further raising expectations that
some sort of breakthrough deal could reduce tariffs.
U.S. stock futures were mostly unchanged in
Europe, following modest gains in the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq
on Monday. But the mood on Wall Street remains fragile
leading into April, when Trump's threatened reciprocal tariffs
are set to take effect.
Softer-than-expected retail sales and factory activity
figures kept downward pressure on the U.S. dollar and on U.S.
yields.
Sterling rose 0.1% to $1.300, hitting this
milestone for the first time since the U.S. election in early
November. The Japanese yen was the outlier, weakening
sharply to leave the dollar up 0.3% at 149.67.
Ten-year Treasury yields were steady at 4.2908%.
A German economic survey is due later today, though
markets' focus is on the U.S. Federal Reserve, which concludes a
two-day meeting on Wednesday.
(Additional reporting by Tom Westbrook in Singapore; Editing by
Shri Navaratnam, Lincoln Feast and Ed Osmond)