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After overseas sell-off, Nasdaq closes lightly higher
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Investor bets decline for Fed rate cut next month
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US Treasury yields turn higher, dollar edges up
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UK markets whipped around by budget talk
By Sinéad Carew and Dhara Ranasinghe
NEW YORK/LONDON, Nov 14 (Reuters) -
MSCI's global equities gauge lost ground on Friday and Wall
Street had a muted end to the week while U.S. Treasury yields
climbed after hawkish Federal Reserve officials trounced on
hopes for a December interest rate cut.
After opening lower the S&P 500 recouped most of its
losses with some help from bargain hunters after blue-chip
bourses from Tokyo to Paris had closed sharply lower while fresh
concern about Britain's upcoming budget had added to pain in UK
markets.
Citing inflation worries and signs of relative stability in
the labor market after two U.S. rate cuts this year, a growing
number of Fed policymakers have signaled reticence on further
easing.
On Friday morning, Kansas City Federal Reserve President
Jeffrey Schmid pointed to concerns that "too hot" inflation goes
well beyond the narrow effects of tariffs alone, suggesting a
potential dissent in December if policymakers opted to cut
rates.
In the afternoon, Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie
Logan signaled opposition to a December rate cut after she
already opposed the Fed's October cut on concerns inflation is
too high.
After 43 days without official data due to a record-long
U.S. government shutdown, traders reacted to the central
bankers' comments by pricing in a roughly 46% chance of a
quarter-point cut next month, down from 66.9% last week,
according to CME Group's FedWatch tool.
Still, the techology-focussed Nasdaq clawed its way back
from losses to close slightly higher as investors set aside some
of their jitters about high valuations in technology stocks.
"The rest of the world was weak because they were following
the lead of the U.S market on Thursday," said Andrew Slimmon,
senior portfolio manager at Morgan Stanley Investment Management
but he noted that Wall Street was supported by "a bid in stocks
that have led the decline in the last few days."
"People are conditioned to buy the dip. It has been a great
strategy. And you're at a time in the year when the winners keep
winning. That's why the stocks that are working today have been
the winners since the low in April," he said.
For example, AI chip leader Nvidia ( NVDA ) finished up 1.8%
while the smaller cap S&P 600 technology index shook
off earlier losses to close up 0.3%.
Likely adding to skittishness was the week ahead's
packed schedule, which includes
quarterly earnings from Nvidia ( NVDA )
and big retailers, which will shed light on the health of
the consumer and AI demand.
"There are so many cross currents out there in the
market that it can be hard to determine which way things are
headed Is the U.S. economy strong or weak? The answer is, both.
Is inflation heading higher or lower? Are valuations high or
low?" said Viktor Shvets, head of global desk strategy at
Macquarie Capital.
On Wall Street the Dow Jones Industrial
Average fell 309.74 points, or 0.65%, to 47,147.48, but
showed a 0.3% gain for the week. The S&P 500 fell 3.38
points, or 0.05%, to 6,734.11 for a 0.1% weekly gain and the
Nasdaq Composite rose 30.23 points, or 0.13%, to
22,900.59, leaving it with a roughly 0.5% loss for the week.
MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe
was down 4.37 points, or 0.44%, to 995.79, which would leave it
with a roughly 0.4% gain for the week.
Earlier the pan-European STOXX 600 index and
Europe's broad FTSEurofirst 300 index had both closed
down about 1%.
Before Wall Street had opened, MSCI's broadest gauge of
Asian shares outside of Japan had closed down
1.5%.
U.S. Treasury yields turned higher after falling earlier in
the day. The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes
rose 3.5 basis points to 4.146%, from 4.111% late on
Thursday. The 2-year note yield, which typically
moves in step with interest rate expectations for the Federal
Reserve, rose 1.9 basis points to 3.608%, from 3.589% late on
Thursday.
In currencies, the dollar gained on the euro and was roughly
flat against the yen as stocks recovered somewhat and traders
weighed the Fed's next moves.
The dollar index, which measures the greenback
against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro,
rose 0.02% to 99.26, with the euro down 0.08% at $1.1622.
The Japanese yen strengthened 0.02% against the
greenback to 154.55 per dollar.
Sterling weakened 0.14% to $1.3171 after a report
said Finance Minister Rachel Reeves scrapped plans to raise
income tax rates in the upcoming budget, raising questions on
plans for balancing public finances.
In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin fell 3.93% to
$94,920.96. Ethereum declined 0.49% to $3,164.35.
Oil prices settled up more than $1 on supply fears after the
Black Sea port of Novorossiisk halted oil exports following a
Ukrainian drone attack on an oil depot in the major Russian
energy hub.
U.S. crude settled up 2.39%, or $1.40 at $60.09 a
barrel and Brent settled at $64.39 per barrel, up 2.19%
or $1.38 on the day.
Gold prices lost ground after the Fed officials' hawkish
remarks. Spot gold fell 2.12% to $4,082.76 an ounce. U.S.
gold futures fell 2.4% to $4,086.50 an ounce.