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Stocks rise in holiday trading conditions
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Dollar, US yields steady near milestone highs
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Chinese authorities pledge more support for economy
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Fed outlook remains top of investors' minds
(Updates for late U.S. trade)
By Alden Bentley, Samuel Indyk and Rae Wee
NEW YORK/LONDON, Dec 24 (Reuters) - Wall Street topped
off a global share rally in thin trade on Thursday as markets
prepared for early Christmas Eve closes, while the dollar was
buoyed by firmer Treasury yields and speculation that the
Federal Reserve would slow its easing in 2025.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was 0.47% higher in
late morning trade, the S&P 500 rose 0.73% and the Nasdaq
Composite rose 0.99%.
U.S. stock trading wraps up at 1:00 p.m. EDT/1800 GMT, and
the bond market closes at 2:00 p.m. Most financial centers
around the world are closed on Wednesday for Christmas. The U.S.
reopens on Thursday, while many financial centers have a second
day off.
"Meagre news and data flow should keep the focus on a more
hawkish Fed," said Ipek Ozkardeskaya, senior analyst at
Swissquote Bank.
MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe went
up more than half a percent. The pan-European STOXX 600 index
rose 0.18%. Britain's FTSE 100 rose 0.19% and
France's CAC 40 rose 0.14%. German stocks were closed
for the Christmas holiday.
In Asia, Chinese stocks rose after sources told Reuters that
Beijing planned to issue a record amount of special treasury
bonds next year as it ramps up fiscal stimulus to revive a
faltering economy.
The CSI300 blue-chip index and Shanghai Composite
Index both ended 1.3% higher. Hong Kong's Hang Seng
Index advanced 1.1%.
The news came shortly after China's finance ministry said
authorities would ramp up fiscal support for consumption next
year by raising pensions and medical insurance subsidies for
residents, as well as expanding consumer goods trade-ins.
Still, investors remain cautious on the outlook for the
world's second-largest economy, particularly as it faces the
threat of hefty tariffs from U.S. President-elect Donald Trump.
Elsewhere, MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares
outside Japan rose 0.37%.
FED FOCUS
Investors are taking direction from last week's 25 basis
point Fed interest rate cut, its signals on the strength of the
economy and its slow progress bringing inflation down to its 2%
target. Markets are now pricing in about 35 basis points of
easing for 2025, implying one quarter-point rate cut and around
a 40% chance of a second.
U.S. Treasury yields pared gains after the Treasury saw
solid demand for a $70 billion sale of five-year notes, but
remained higher on the day. The two-year Treasury yield
, which is sensitive to changes in Fed rate
expectations, was up 0.9 bp at 4.359%, while the benchmark
10-year yield rose 2.6 bp to 4.625%, reaching a
seven-month high at 4.629%.
"Like markets, the Fed will need to consider U.S. policies
on tariffs and immigration in its inflation and growth outlook.
We believe the subtle slowing in the U.S. labor market will
still be the Fed's paramount concern," said analysts at Citi
Wealth.
"While always uncertain, our base case expectation for a
3.75% policy rate is unchanged. It's a far cry from the 1.7%
U.S. policy rate average of the past 20 years."
The Fed's cut was the third one this cycle, taking the Fed
funds rate to 4.25%-4.5%.
Ahead of Trump's return to the White House in January,
global central banks have urged caution over their rate paths
due to uncertainty on how his planned tariffs, lower taxes and
immigration curbs might affect policy.
Data on Monday showed U.S. consumer confidence unexpectedly
weakened in December as the post-election euphoria fizzled and
concerns about future business conditions emerged.
In currencies, the dollar index rose 0.14% hovering
near a two-year high hit Monday, having climbed more than 2% in
December so far.
The euro eased 0.15% to $1.0389, while the yen
languished near last week's five-month low, trading at
157.35 per dollar.
Japan's Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato on Tuesday
reiterated Tokyo's discomfort with excessive foreign exchange
moves and put speculators on notice that authorities are ready
to act to stabilise a faltering yen.
Spot gold rose 0.13% to $2,616.26 an ounce, having
risen about 27% this year, heading for its biggest yearly gain
since 2010.
U.S. crude rose 1.56% to $70.32 a barrel and Brent
rose to $73.73 per barrel, up 1.51% on the day.