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GLOBAL MARKETS-Gold surges and euro sags as broader war risks rise
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GLOBAL MARKETS-Gold surges and euro sags as broader war risks rise
Nov 21, 2024 6:41 PM

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Euro nears 2023 low, gas prices leap

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Bitcoin on the verge of $100,000

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Chip stocks up in Asia trade; Adani assets under pressure

By Tom Westbrook

SINGAPORE, Nov 22 (Reuters) - Gold was headed for its

largest weekly gain in nearly eight months on Friday and the

euro hovered at a 13-month low as Russia lowered its threshold

for using nuclear weapons and fired a hypersonic ballistic

missile at Ukraine.

The risk of escalation also sent European gas prices

to a one-year high and pushed investors towards

safe havens, underpinning German debt and putting the Swiss

franc on course for its first weekly rise in two

months.

In Asia on Friday, chipmakers led stocks a little higher

after Nvidia ( NVDA ) touched a record high in U.S. trade on

solid earnings, with shares in Taiwan and South Korea

up more than 1% and the Nikkei gaining 0.8%.

Gold was steady at $2,677 an ounce and up more than

4.5% for the week so far while bitcoin, stood on the

brink of breaking above $100,000 for the first time.

Assets linked to Adani Group companies remained under

pressure, with dollar bonds nursing losses following chairman

Gautam Adani's indictment for fraud by U.S. prosecutors.

Russia on Tuesday lowered its threshold for using nuclear

weapons and overnight responded to the U.S. and UK allowing Kyiv

to strike Russian territory with western weapons by firing a

hypersonic intermediate-range missile at Ukraine's Dnipro.

"Those weapons typically carry nuclear warheads," said

analysts at ANZ Bank, noting the attack sent oil prices higher.

"The exchange indicates the war has entered a new phase,

raising concerns around disruptions to supply."

Brent crude futures are up nearly 4.5% on the week

and edged up to touch a two-week high of $74.44 a barrel in Asia

trade.

The euro has been friendless and down for seven of the past

eight weeks as Europe faces U.S. tariffs, slowing growth, the

collapse of Germany's government and strains in France's

government over its 2025 budget.

"There doesn't seem to be anything on the plus side of the

euro ledger just at the moment," said National Australia Bank's

head of FX research, Ray Attrill.

At $1.0469 the common currency is close to breaking support

at last year's low of $1.0448. European stocks are also

headed for a fifth weekly drop in a row, while world stocks

are up 1% this week.

The dollar index eyed a weekly gain of 0.4% and

traded at 107.05. S&P 500 futures were flat. Benchmark

10-year Treasury yields held at 4.432%, more or less

steady on the week.

Markets imply about a 58% chance of a Fed cut, down from 83%

a week earlier.

Data in Japan showed core inflation held above the central

bank's 2% target in October, keeping pressure for a rate rise.

Markets are pricing about a 57% chance of a 25 basis point Bank

of Japan rate hike in December and the prospect has injected

some volatility and even support for the yen.

The yen, down 4% this quarter, was trading firmer at 154.38

per dollar in morning trade.

"Together with speculation about (finance ministry)

intervention, I think selling on upticks on dollar/yen is quite

decent," said Keita Matsumoto, head of financial institution

sales and solutions at Citigroup Global Markets Japan in Tokyo.

"Our investor clients and corporate clients are rather

sellers of dollar/yen close to 155."

(Editing by Shri Navaratnam)

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