* Hopes of end to conflict evaporate after Trump speech
* Oil surges as stagflation risks swirl, denting risk
assets
* Stocks sharply lower as Trump speech provides little
clarity
* Investors likely to stay defensive as Trump ramps up
threats
(Updates ahead of Wall Street open)
By Marc Jones
LONDON, April 2 (Reuters) - Oil prices surged and global
equity and bond markets recoiled again on Thursday after U.S.
President Donald Trump dashed hopes of a swift resolution to the
Middle East war.
Brent crude jumped more than 7% to above $109 a
barrel after Trump said in a prime-time address on Wednesday
that the U.S. would hit Iran "extremely hard" in the coming
weeks and "bring them back to the Stone Ages where they belong".
Although he also said the U.S. campaign was nearing an end,
the renewed rhetoric sent the pan-European FTSEurofirst 300
and Wall Street futures down by between 1.3% and 1.8%,
after Asian stocks had taken a beating overnight.
Government bond yields jumped on expectations that an
inflation spike would force central banks to raise interest
rates, or at least keep them on hold.
The dollar, which has reasserted its role as a safe-haven
currency, rose too, pushing the euro down 0.5% to $1.1526
and sterling below $1.32.
"Over the past 48 hours, Tehran and Washington have
exchanged a cacophony of statements, some suggesting rising odds
of de-escalation. At the same time, kinetic action has continued
unabated," BCA Research's Felix-Antoine Vezina-Poirier said.
"Our GeoMacro strategists offer simple guidance for weighing
volatile headlines: Stick to the facts. First, shipping through
Hormuz has picked up over the past few days. Second, Iran is
deliberately shifting away from GCC targets toward Israeli
ones."
WALL STREET POINTS LOWER, ASIA CLOBBERED
Wall Street's S&P and Nasdaq futures were pointing
1.4% and 1.9% lower respectively, although energy stocks bucked
the trend, with Exxon Mobil ( XOM ) and Chevron ( CVX ) both up
about 3%. The sector is the only one to have gained since the
war erupted.
In a closely watched address on Wednesday, Trump said U.S.
attacks on Iran would be intensified over the next two to three
weeks. That came just a day after he told Reuters the U.S. would
be "out of Iran pretty quickly".
Asian equities bore the brunt of the subsequent reaction
, with Japan's Nikkei closing down 2.4%
and South Korea's Kospi index sliding 4.7%. Both indexes
are heavily weighted towards energy-intensive chipmakers and
technology firms.
"The only thing that really matters is whether the Strait of
Hormuz will open soon," said Prashant Newnaha, senior rates
strategist at TD Securities, referring to the narrow chokepoint
through which a fifth of global oil and liquefied natural gas is
shipped.
"Trump's speech doesn't imply this is likely to happen as
quickly as the markets were expecting."
Trump said on Wednesday the U.S. did not need the key oil
gateway and that it would open naturally once the conflict was
over.
Ten-year U.S. Treasury yields - a major driver
of global borrowing costs - climbed 5 basis points to 4.376%.
Benchmark European yields were up a similar
amount at just over 3%, though both were still on track for
their first weekly drop since the war began.
Gold and silver fell 3% and 5.7% respectively, as a modest
bounce over recent days came to an abrupt halt and the dollar
index climbed back above 100.05, after dropping nearly 1%
in the previous two days on optimism the war might end soon.
There were also growing signs of urgency in oil-importing
emerging markets.
India's central bank moved to ban trading of so-called
non-deliverable forwards in an effort to halt the rupee's run of
record lows. The move sent the currency up 2%, although
analysts questioned how long the rebound would last.
With Brent futures back up to $109.60 per barrel and
U.S. West Texas Intermediate at $109.14, it was the war -
and the roughly 80% leap in oil and natural gas prices
so far this year - that remained investors' main
focus.
"The fact that we can expect 2-3 more weeks of action, boots
on the ground were not ruled out (during Trump's TV address) and
that threats to hit infrastructure were reiterated, will put the
market back on the defensive," Pictet Asset Management's Jon
Withaar said.
(Additional reporting by Ankur Banerjee in Singapore. Editing
by Mark Potter)