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GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks drop, gold hits record as tariffs stoke recession worries
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GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks drop, gold hits record as tariffs stoke recession worries
Mar 31, 2025 9:02 AM

(Updates headline, first paragraph and prices throughout with

U.S. markets, adds analyst comment)

*

Wall Street stocks trade lower

*

Trump says US tariffs to cover all countries

*

Flight to safety buoys bonds, gold hits record

By Samuel Indyk and Chibuike Oguh

NEW YORK/LONDON, March 31 (Reuters) - Global equity

markets were lower and safe-haven gold hit a fresh record high

on Monday after U.S. President Donald Trump said tariffs would

essentially cover all countries, stoking worries a global trade

war could lead to a recession.

Trump's comments to reporters on Air Force One seemed to

dash hopes the levies would be limited to a smaller group of

countries with the biggest trade imbalances.

Trump is due to receive tariff recommendations on Tuesday

and announce initial levels on Wednesday, followed by auto

tariffs the day after.

On Wall Street, all three main indexes were trading lower,

led by losses in consumer discretionary, technology and

communication services stocks. Energy, consumer staples,

utilities and real estate stocks were making gains.

"What the Trump administration has shown us so far is that

you should not expect a consistent approach," said George

Lagarias, chief economist at Forvis Mazars.

"This is what scares the market the most. Inconsistency

breeds uncertainty, and markets hate uncertainty."

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.11% to

41,538.47, the S&P 500 fell 0.90% to 5,530.99 and the

Nasdaq Composite fell 2.00% to 16,976.48.

Europe's STOXX 600 fell 1.40% to its lowest in

almost eight weeks, while major indexes in Frankfurt,

London and Paris fell between 1.7% and 2%.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan

shed 1.9%.

Analysts at Goldman Sachs now see a 35% chance of a U.S.

recession, up from 20% previously, saying they expect Trump to

announce reciprocal tariffs that average 15% across all U.S.

trading partners on April 2.

Data out on Friday underlined the risks as a key measure of

core inflation rose by more than expected in February while

consumer spending disappointed.

That raised the stakes for the March payrolls report due on

Friday, where any outcome below the 140,000 gain expected would

only add to recession fears.

"The current market narratives center on this fear of

stagflation, which conceptually could be the worst possible

combination for stocks," said Talley Leger, chief market

strategist at The Wealth Consulting Group in New Jersey.

"So in a slowing growth environment, earnings would

decelerate, or even collapse in a recession. That's another big

fear in the market. And on the other side, spiralling inflation

would squeeze stocks on the valuation channel."

Gold prices extended their stellar run, hitting another

record high of $3,128.06. Spot gold rose 1.18% to

$3,120.27 an ounce, while U.S. gold futures were up 1.3%

at $3,126.60 an ounce.

In currency markets, the dollar weakened against the

Japanese yen but strengthened against the euro amid the

uncertainty around tariffs.

Against the Japanese yen, the dollar weakened

0.13% to 149.63. The euro was down 0.27% at $1.0799.

Against the Swiss franc, the dollar strengthened 0.48% to

0.885 franc.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback

against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro,

rose 0.22%.

Bond investors seemed to be betting the slowdown in U.S.

economic growth will outweigh a temporary lift in inflation and

prompt the Fed to cut rates by about 80 basis points this year.

The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes fell

3.5 basis points to 4.219%. In Europe, the yield on benchmark

German 10-year Bunds fell 2.6 basis points to

2.706%.

The outlook for rates could become clearer when Fed Chair

Jerome Powell speaks on Friday, following a host of other Fed

speakers this week.

Brent rose 1.41% to $74.67 a barrel, while U.S.

crude added 2.34% to $70.99 per barrel as Trump

threatened secondary tariffs on buyers of Russian oil if he felt

Moscow was blocking efforts to end the war in Ukraine.

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