* South Korean stocks catch up with tech rally, S&P
futures flat
* Oil flat, US launches effort to free ships from Strait
of Hormuz
* Busy week for earnings includes AMD, Super Micro
* Payrolls data to shape outlook for Fed policy
By Wayne Cole
SYDNEY, May 4 (Reuters) - Shares edged higher while oil
prices flatlined in Asia on Monday, as investors drew comfort
from signs of patchy progress in settling the Middle East
conflict at the start of a week packed with earnings and key
economic data.
President Donald Trump said the United States would begin an
effort to free up ships stranded in the Strait of Hormuz on
Monday morning, but gave no details of the plan.
A statement from Central Command said support would include
guided-missile destroyers, over 100 land and sea-based aircraft
and 15,000 service members.
Iran earlier said that the U.S. had responded to its
14-point proposal via Pakistan and that it was reviewing the
response, though Trump said it was unlikely to be acceptable.
Brent crude futures were flat at $108.30 per barrel,
having recovered from an initial drop of more than 2%, while
U.S. crude was steady at $102.01.
Dealers noted a bulk carrier had reported being attacked by
multiple small craft while transiting Iran's Sirik on Sunday,
and it was not clear how many ships would try and run the Strait
of Hormuz even with Navy protection.
A holiday in Japan made for thin trading conditions, leaving
Nikkei futures up only modestly at 59,630 versus a cash
close of 59,513. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares
outside Japan gained 0.6%, while South Korean
stocks returned from holiday with a jump of 2.6%.
EUROSTOXX 50 futures and DAX futures each
added 0.1%, while FTSE futures dipped 0.4%.
S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures were little
changed, as markets braced for more than 100 earnings reports
this week. Companies reporting include Advanced Micro Devices ( AMD )
, Super Micro Computer Inc ( SMCI ), Palantir,
Walt Disney ( DIS ) and McDonald's.
The S&P 500 EPS growth rate was running at 25%, and
accounting for one-off gains at a still brisk 16%, said analysts
at Goldman Sachs in a note.
"Despite elevated energy prices and geopolitical
uncertainty, corporate guidance and analyst estimate revisions
have remained strong so far this quarter," they said. "However,
the reward for EPS beats has been unusually small."
CENTRAL BANKS WARN OF INFLATION RISKS
Concerns remained about the scale of AI capex investment
which was now up at $751 billion for 2026, $80 billion above
estimates at the start of the earnings season and 83% above
spending in 2025.
The threat of oil-driven inflation had also lifted bond
yields in a challenge to equity valuations, while several major
central banks had turned hawkish on policy.
Markets implied just 2 basis points of easing from the
Federal Reserve by year-end compared to 11 basis points a week
ago. Expectations for the European Central Bank had climbed to
76 basis points of hikes, with the Bank of England on 63 basis
points.
Australia's central bank meets on Tuesday and is considered
likely to hike its cash rate for a third time running as it
battles stubborn inflationary pressures.
The outlook for Fed policy could be budged by a raft of data
this week which includes the payrolls report for April on
Friday. Median forecasts are for a rise of 60,000 in jobs
following March's outsized 178,000 gain, though problems with
seasonal adjustment make for much uncertainty.
Analysts at Citi, for instance, are predicting a 15,000 drop
in payrolls, and a rise in unemployment to 4.3%.
In currency markets, the dollar was a shade softer as
investors waited for more developments in the Middle East and,
crucially, whether the Strait of Hormuz could be opened.
The dollar was off 0.1% at 156.94 yen, still
smarting from last week's Japanese intervention which analysts
thought could have amounted to around $35 billion.
The euro was flat at $1.1723, while the pound held
at $1.3575 ahead of local elections in the UK which could
see heavy losses for the ruling Labour Party.
In commodity markets, gold was 0.2% lower at $4,603 an ounce
, and well within recent trading ranges.
(Reporting by Wayne Cole;)