* South Korean stocks catch up with tech rally, S&P
futures flat
* Oil flat, US launches effort to free ships from Strait
of Hormuz
* Busy week for earnings includes AMD, Super Micro
* Payrolls data to shape outlook for Fed policy
(Adds Axios report, Chinese stocks and updates prices)
By Wayne Cole
SYDNEY, May 4 (Reuters) - Shares edged higher while oil
prices flatlined in Asia on Monday as investors drew comfort
from signs of patchy progress in settling the Middle East
conflict at the start of a week packed with earnings and key
economic data.
President Donald Trump said the U.S. would begin an effort
to free up ships stranded in the Strait of Hormuz on Monday
morning, though he gave no details of the plan.
A statement from the U.S. Central Command said support would
include guided-missile destroyers, over 100 land- and sea-based
aircraft and 15,000 service members. A report from Axios later
claimed the Navy would not necessarily escort ships through the
strait.
Iran earlier said the U.S. had responded to its 14-point
proposal via Pakistan and it was reviewing the response, though
Trump said it was unlikely to be acceptable.
Investors decided to reserve judgement and left Brent crude
futures little changed at $108.35 per barrel, having
recovered from an initial drop of more than 2%, while U.S. crude
eased 0.1% to $101.85.
Dealers noted a bulk carrier had reported being attacked by
multiple small craft while transiting past Sirik in Iran on
Sunday, though it was not clear how many ships would try to run
through the Strait of Hormuz even with Navy protection.
A holiday in Japan made for thin trading conditions, leaving
Nikkei futures up only modestly at 59,880 versus a cash
close of 59,513.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
gained 2.8%, led by tech-heavy South Korean
stocks which returned from holiday with a jump of 4.05%.
Chinese blue chips were off 0.06%.
EUROSTOXX 50 futures and DAX futures each
added 0.3%. S&P 500 futures gained 0.1% and Nasdaq
futures rose 0.3%, as markets braced for more than 100
earnings reports this week.
Companies reporting include Advanced Micro Devices ( AMD ),
Super Micro Computer ( SMCI ), Palantir, Walt Disney ( DIS )
and McDonald's.
The S&P 500 EPS growth rate was running at 25% and
accounting for one-off gains at a still brisk 16%, said analysts
at Goldman Sachs in a note.
"Despite elevated energy prices and geopolitical
uncertainty, corporate guidance and analyst estimate revisions
have remained strong so far this quarter," they said. "However,
the reward for EPS beats has been unusually small."
CENTRAL BANKS WARN OF INFLATION RISKS
Concerns remained about the scale of artificial intelligence
capex investment which was now at $751 billion for 2026, $80
billion above estimates at the start of the earnings season and
83% above 2025 spending.
The threat of oil-driven inflation had also lifted bond
yields in a challenge to equity valuations, while several major
central banks had turned hawkish on policy.
Markets implied just 2 basis points of easing from the
Federal Reserve by the end of the year compared with 11 basis
points a week ago. Expectations for the European Central Bank
had climbed to 76 basis points of hikes, with the Bank of
England at 63 basis points.
Australia's central bank meets on Tuesday and is considered
likely to hike its cash rate for a third time running as it
battles stubborn inflationary pressures.
The outlook for Fed policy could be budged by a raft of data
this week which includes the payrolls report for April on
Friday. Median forecasts are for a rise of 60,000 in jobs
following March's outsized 178,000 gain, though problems with
seasonal adjustment make for much uncertainty.
Analysts at Citi, for instance, are predicting a 15,000 drop
in payrolls and a rise in unemployment to 4.3%.
In currency markets, the dollar was a shade softer as
investors waited for more developments in the Middle East and,
crucially, whether the Strait of Hormuz could be opened.
The dollar was steady at 157.21 yen, still
smarting from last week's Japanese intervention which analysts
thought could have amounted to around $35 billion.
The euro was flat at $1.1726, while the pound held
at $1.3584 ahead of local elections in Britain which
could see heavy losses for the ruling Labour Party.
In commodity markets, gold was 0.2% lower at $4,603 an ounce
, and well within recent trading ranges.